12/13/23 (11:02)
People who prioritize money tend to make more of it. If they prioritize
relationships they have better/more of them. Funny how that works. But
you can't complain when it's your priorities that are determining your
reality.
A media pet peeve of mine is when (mostly young) reporters describe a person
as "sort of an extremist" or how there was a "kinda bloodthirsty mob gathering..."
It seems as though they want to describe a thing/person in an extreme and
provocative way, but they also want to hedge their language. It's mealy
mouth bullshit. If someone is sort of an extremist then they're not an
extremist. If you want to describe someone as extreme then go ahead and
commit to it and have the receipts to back it up. I've noticed this on
NPR and the NYT podcast...there's no escaping the unprofessional, poor
reporting these days.
By doing well you are doing good. Do your job well and you are doing good
for the world. I can't tell you how much irritation is in my life because
people didn't do their job properly. Life is difficult enough because of
the chaos of nature and general fallibility of humans. To add gross incompetence
and uncaring behavior to the mix is just too much. Do your job as well
as you can and you do good for the world. If you want to save the world,
start by doing a good job.
There's been a lot of talk about the genocide of the Palestinian people.
It's amazing how bad Jews are at some things. In 1960 there were 1 million
Palestinians in the Gaza strip. Today there are over 5 million. Jews are
so bad at committing genocide. What the fuck are they doing? A 500% increase
in 60 years...an extremely ineffective genocide. They're good at being
media overlords and running the global banks and all that, but when it
comes to killing Palestinians they are just total garbage. Nazis killed
6 million Jews in like 8 years, you'd think the Jews would have learned
how to do commit genocide properly through that experience.
12/5/23 (14:05)
Took vacation 11/17-11/27. I'll have to make a trip page for that. Still
haven't done one for our trip last year so probably wouldn't hold my breath
if I were you. That said, I'm going to make a real effort to get some of
that stuff done before the end of the year.
Just updated my dad's
academy award picks, for example. I haven't done mine, but maybe some
day.
Was sick the last 1.5 days of the vacation and the last day was pretty
miserable. It was snowing and we were outside at the Detroit zoo. Then
we were on a flight that was delayed over 2 hours. Then we finally got
on the plane and taxied around and waited for 3+ hours while they figured
out some weather and mechanical issues. Finally got off the ground and
then had another 4.5 hours in the air. Waiting in an airplane for 3+ hours
on the runway, while sick, and leaving a fun vacation, qualifies as one
of the more miserable experiences of my life. Charmed life I guess.
Took a day off work the day after we arrived (didn't get home until about
230a, after all the delays). I was tired and sick and really not up for
it. The day after that I left work after about half a day and didn't feel
so great. Now I'm still not 100%, but I'm back to work and things are good
enough.
Worked over the weekend of course to move things along at the new house.
Had the union guys there leading the way while a couple of my guys and
I made progress on some of the other work on the property.
A ton of work to do even before getting MEP (mechanical, electrical, plumbing)
in to start their work. Some issues with the foundation that are causing
a lot of headaches and extra work for us. The good news is that most of
the difficult carpentry is done. The next hardest part, to me anyway, is
the concrete work we have. Once we get done with concrete and underground
work, I'll be feeling pretty good.
Niners have been looking really good this year. A lot of talk about Purdy
- even some discussion of him being an MVP contender. I don't see it. I
think he's a very good QB and I like him, but he's not even the best player
on a team that is really stacked on both sides of the ball. I really hope
they don't mess it up this year. Backup skill players should be getting
a lot more reps now. No reason to overload CMC or Deebo at this point.
Same goes for Bosa and Warner.
USC had a pretty shit year, but ended well by getting a new DC. I actually
was texting with my dad and some friend of his who is a USC fan that I
thought they should go after Ken Norton Jr. (who is LB coach at UCLA now).
They did the next best thing by getting the DC at UCLA. The defensive stats
at UCLA are so much better than USC and if we get 90% of those stats, then
we would have probably been undefeated this year and looking at a National
Championship opportunity. We lost 34-32 to Utah, for example. UCLA lost
14-7 to Utah. Riley needs to just get out of Lynn's way and let him run
the defense. Riley clearly has no clue how to coach defense so he should
delegate that duty away and focus on what he's good at.
I agree with the choice to leave FSU out of the playoffs. Yes, they're
undefeated, but they're not looking great right now and I think most people
would agree that Texas and Alabama would both likely beat FSU if they played
today. WA and MI I think are obvious choices. I'm guessing AL will beat
MI and WA will beat TX. AL will beat WA for the championship. This is just
my guess.
We went to the MI/OSU game on the vacation and my feeling was that OSU
was actually a slightly better team, but MI made big plays at the right
time and that was the difference.
11/5/23 (15:41)
Haven't had a day off in the last couple weeks. Trying to get as much done
with the new house as possible, especially before Thanksgiving vacation
and the rains start.
The most difficult beams in the building have been replaced so it's relatively
easy carpentry from here on. Still a lot of work, but it's not as difficult.
Evidently I didn't upload the page at all last month even though there
were a few updates.
10/31/23 (15:08)
CTC was pretty much what I expected. Very steep in portions. Relentless
and punishing, but doable. Took us 15 hours total including several stops
to check the route, eat, drink, rest, admire the view, etc. 21+ miles and
almost 11,000 feet in elevation gained. Backpacker Magazine has it as the
5th hardest day hike in the country so there's that. Knee was sore the
next day and my traps were sore from wearing a heavy backpack all day.
Other than that, no lasting damage. Actually had an easier time that night
and the next day than when we did Grand Canyon. Something about that one
was really tough for me. I think it was the stopping for an hour at the
bottom and having so much downhill to start. Happy to have done it. Happy
to be done with it.
If everyone buys index funds what are the downsides of that? I don't know
enough to say, but it seems like everyone knows by now that index funds
are the best strategy for long term growth (at least they have been looking
backwards). But what if everyone dumps their money into them? Does that
make them better, worse, or the same? Seems like dangerous groupthink,
but I have no evidence or theory about why this wouldn't be a good macro
level strategy in the long term. We'll see.
Been working at the new house a bit lately. Working on framing and structural
work. Engineer made assumptions about the shape of the existing foundation
that don't make any sense. Unfortunately it looks like we'll need to underpin
the existing foundation. This will require a lot of difficult work. Not
a simple fix and outside of what I'm comfortable doing so I'm currenly
looking for help on this.
Currently the entire structure is being help up by steel beams and temporary
shoring so we can do our structural work. Had a few union guys out over
the weekend and I worked with them on replacing the two main beams in the
front of the building. Hopefully we can finish that this weekend. Since
they are union guys who work during the week they will only help us out
on the weekend, but it's better than nothing and they are better carpenters
than me or any of my guys so it's good to have the skilled help. My guys
and I will do all the easier stuff.
Since 2020 social welfare spending is up, prison population is down, money
supply is up, inflation is up, crime is up, drug overdose deaths are up.
Liberals my entire life have complained about military spending and remarked
on the opportunity cost of spending all that on the military when we could
(supposedly) spend small % of it on some pet program that would lift millions
out of poverty. That's the narrative. Meanwhile we are now spending more
on debt payments than on the military. Media seems silent on this. Liberals
are silent on this. I think it's a moral wrong to put our kids and grandkids
into debt at this level for the long term just so we can have nice stuff
today. Wars in Iraq, Afghanistan, Ukraine. COVID payouts due to government
shut downs. Trump tax cuts. Not going after big corporations to pay their
taxes. Social security and other welfare spending which mostly goes to
old people who have had their entire lives to get their shit together.
It's morally reprehensible.
We whould invert our spending. Instead of giving 20%+ of our federal outlays
to old people, we should be giving it to babies and kids to make sure they
have a better start in life. SS payments to grandma would be better spent
on a newborn's family that needs childcare, early education, a birth savings
account, etc. I've heard Democrats ask for spending on some of this stuff,
but with them it's always "yes and..." And now that we have high interest
rates, our debt payments are ridiculous because no one is willing to balance
the budget.
10/18/23 (14:42)
I fucking hate my job sometimes. It seems cool to fix things and make cool
stuff, but half of it is setting up meetings with city inspectors, emailing
engineers and architects and homeowners about shit that doesn't matter
or is only required because of government bureaucrats. An endless loop
of questions and answers that yield more questions. Here's an idea - let's
just fucking build things and move on. Insurance and bonding and replacing
stolen tools and dealing with employees who can't get their pants on in
the morning. People and society have a way of sucking the pleasure out
of everything.
10 months into the year and the city still refuses to do anything of substance
with the homeless encampment in front of our warehouse. They are going
to have a meeting about it soon (supposedly). What a joke.
What it comes down to is that I like to get things done and other people
like to talk. Talking is nice because it makes people feel heard and validated
and they get things off their chest and all that touchy feely girl shit.
Not for me. Sorry.
This weekend we're going to Palm Springs for CTC. 21 miles, 10,800' gained.
Nervous about it. Going to be hot, but we'll be climbing fast so we should
get ahead of the heat. Not in the best shape right now and wish I had trained
more, but I hate training and really don't have a lot of spare time. Which
brings me to...
Work at the new house is underway. Contractors were there last week and
this week lifting the structure so we can do our work of replacing it piece
by piece (not quite, but kinda).
Why is every crappy software company constantly "upgrading" their software?
Seems like they are just justifying their jobs at this point. It's not
all bug fixes and security updates. It's minor graphics changes and crap.
Most of the time I get Android updated it actually introduces new bugs
into the phone. Often with Bluetooth. It's just amazing that all these
people do this shit and software still has problems constantly. I've said
it for 25+ years - just make the shit work and stop tinkering with it.
10/11/23 (13:51)
When the Golden Gate Bridge was built less than 100 years ago it cost about
$600 million (adjusted for inflation). Today it will cost about $400 million
to install nets to prevent people jumping to their death from the bridge.
This says a lot about modern society. The costs are out of control. But
also the fact that we're building nets under a bridge so people don't jump
off says a lot as well. Maybe it's good or maybe not. But that's our society
today vs. 1937.
9/20/23( 21:40)
Today was a good day. Started off not really wanting to go to work and
feeling the mid week slog more than usual. Maybe Merritt picked up on it.
I sat on the couch with the girls and Merritt snuggled with me for a while
and asked me not to go when I told her I had to get going. Then she asked
if she could go to work with me and I reflexively said no. Then I thought
about it more and she asked more and I said sure let's play hooky. Zoe
asked if she could too and I said no and then I thought better of it and
said okay. Took them to work and the day turned out to be more fun than
usual. Went to the warehouse and set up two guys doing work there. Left
the girls at the warehouse with Meryl and the guys. Then went to the new
house to setup two more guys there. We should have the permit finally either
tomorrow (Thursday) or Monday (building department employees don't work
on Fridays). Showed them what to do and they worked on that. Then I went
to another job for an inspection and got a little work done there. Passed
inspection which is always nice. Also met with PG&E about a new meter
array we're going to put in there. They said it's going to likely be several
months to get it done. Then I went back to the warehouse to pickup the
girls. Meryl went to SF for another inspection there. Then I went with
the girls to my favorite lunch/burger spot and the lady who knows me got
to meet the girls. We got burgers and fries and an oreo milkshake. Then
we went to another job to check out one of the guys who was doing painting
there. He's the new guy (Mitchell) and unfortunately I don't think he's
going to last in the long term, but that's another story. Then we went
back to the new house to drop off trash at the dump truck that I store
there now. Went over a few more things with the guys and then went to HD
to pickup materials. Girls helped with that. Clerk didn't ring me up for
a couple items so we ended up getting a couple freebies. I'm not complaining.
Then we went do Jamba for an afternoon snack. Then we went to another supplier
to pick up a special order item. Then we went home before 4p. Got a decent
amount done and got to hang out with 2 of my favorite people all day.
Merritt said she wished she never had to go to school and that they could
just hang out with the family and learn that way. I agreed and I've felt
that way many times as well.
Not sure if I've mentioned it before, but Jesus lives at our new house
now. He had some problems with his living situation so we offered for him
to live there for a while. He set up a ghetto cold shower situation in
the shed, but, other than that, it's basically a studio apartment for free
so he's happy.
Monday was a bad day. Went around doing the rounds checking out the guys
at different jobs. Went to a job in the hills and had intended to only
be there a few minutes to drop off materials and check things out. It turned
out to be closer to 15 minutes and when I came out all the doors to my
truck were open. I knew what happened of course, but I was hopeful that
they didn't get everything....but they did. All my cordless power tools
were stolen from the truck. $4k worth of stuff. Some form of theft happens
every year. It's just the reality of living in Oakland. For me, it's not
just a thing that happens on the news. It's not a thing that just happens
on Next Door. It's a thing that is a real part of my life consistently.
Sometimes it's only a couple hundred bucks (like a few months ago when
they stole a bunch of drill bits from the truck in the middle of the night
in our driveway). Other times it's thousands, like it was this time or
the time 5 years ago when they got $12k+ worth of tools.
They also got Jesus' power tools. Carlos had his truck locked so he was
spared.
Yes, I need to lock my truck every time even if it's for a minute. On the
other hand, this is a shitty way to live. People understand that when you
say a woman was asking for it by wearing a short skirt - there's absolutely
zero tolerance of that argument in polite society. But the "you should
always lock your doors" argument is literally enshrined in signs throughout
the city. "Always lock up" "Don't leave valuables behind" Just imagine
signs in the night club "cover your drink so you don't get roofied" "cover
up so you don't get groped" What a world we live in.
Anyway, it was a shitty day, but I've moved on.
While I was at the warehouse today I talked with a neighbor who was fed
up with the homeless people living in front of our warehouse. He asked
why I hadn't done anything to get them to go. As best I can figure, people
look at me as a white guy and think I have some sort of power. "Surely
a white guy complaining to the city will solve this problem immediately."
I clued him into the reality that the city doesn't give a shit as evidenced
by the 9 months of inaction despite my constant hectoring of them. He was
surprised that nothing had been done. He told me his neighbor was a slob
and was piling up trash in the backyard. I looked back there and sure enough
it was basically a massive dumpster. He said the rats are coming into his
yard. This is the reality of how people live. I got his contact info and
will loop him into the correspondence, but I doubt anything will be done.
I don't want to be a community organizer. That's what city council people
are supposed to do. We offload that responsibility to them to keep society
running. Unfortunately it doesn't work in Oakland. So, I might become a
community organizer in the next few months...gathering signatures, etc.
to pressure the idiots in the city to do their fucking job.
People have a lot of buzz words/phrases these days. One of them is having
a "feeling of belonging." The supposition is that dominant groups have
a feeling of belonging that "historically marginalized peoples" don't have.
As a person in the dominant group I can say I've never had a feeling of
belonging. The implication seems to be that being a white guy means that
you automatically fit in and have this magical feeling of belonging that
empowers you and "centers" your identity. Lots of buzzwords and not a lot
of sense, imo. I don't really feel it. That's my "lived experience" and
you're not allowed to deny that anymore so...
Didn't really watch the Republican debate, but heard some highlights. Seemed
obvious that Vivek won it, but most of the media missed this fact. He did
get a bump afterwards and that was predictable despite (maybe because of)
most of the media not liking him. Basically the mainstream legacy media
doesn't understand the average Republican voter. Unfortunately we have
a broken culture that revolves around attention. If you can get attention
then you are good. Pathetic formula, but it seems to be pretty simple.
It felt like there was a time when other things were valued, but now it's
mostly about the clicks and views.
For some reason there's been a debate lately about drag queens. One side
says that drag queens are perverts and the other side says they're saving
the world or
whatever. The weird thing is that it seems like it's a hill that people
are willing to die on to allow them to have story hour for elementary school
kids. I just fail to understand why a person would fight so much for a
drag queen story hour for elementary school kids. I don't know the full
history of drag, but it seems to me like it's basically guys dressing up
like women. They are not trans. Why is that a necessary artistic form of
expression for elementary school kids? Why is fighting against parents
not wanting that in their school a worthy fight? Conservatives see this
as creepy or not age appropriate or "grooming" behavior. Of course you
could ask the other question as well - why fight against drag queens reading
stories to your kids? Liberals see this as hateful and exclusionary.
A lot of the time when I'm talking about these issues I'm referring to
polite society, not the trailer park consensus (as a simplistic contrast).
There are different norms depending upon where you are. When I'm talking
to my guys (who work for me and are mostly immigrants) they will say things
that wouldn't fly at the dinner parties I've gone to.
In polite society it's much more acceptable to say "the future is female"
or "what do we even need men for?" These are popular memes and laugh lines
in polite society. In polite society the idea of a patriarchy, in light
of these kinds of comments, is kind of comical. In polite society comments
about my idiot husband go over just fine compared to my ditsy wife who
doesn't know how to drive or whatever. Sure, once you go to Wal-Mart those
realities flip. But if you went to Berkeley and run in the circles I'm
in, the Wal-Mart reality is not the daily reality you likely experience,
and yet that's the world that is depicted in the conversations people have
about politics, gender, race, etc. These people get to have the best of
both worlds. Freedom to demean men/white people and act like perpetual
victims, while also existing in a cultural framework that fully supports
them and even puts them on a pedestal.
I've seen a lot of "the future is female" shirts in the last couple years.
If we're going to play the game of checking the origins of things we don't
like then let's do it with that. You know the game - police in America
have roots in slave patrols, which is a way of supposedly showing that
police in America are racist and maybe we should just abolish the police.
That "future is female" idea came
from a feminist who argued that future society should only be 10% male
(though she didn't argue for genocide, to her credit). From wikipedia:
"In her early career, Gearhart took part in a series of seminars at San
Francisco State University, where feminist scholars were critically discussing
issues of rape, slavery, and the possibility of nuclear annihilation. Gearhart
outlines a three-step proposal for female-led social change from her essay,
"The Future–-If There Is One–-is Female":
I) Every culture must begin to affirm a female future.
II) Species responsibility must be returned to women in every culture.
III) The proportion of men must be reduced to and maintained at approximately
10% of the human race.
Gearhart does not base this radical proposal on the idea that men are
innately violent or oppressive, but rather on the "real danger is in the
phenomenon of male-bonding, that commitment of groups of men to each other
whether in an army, a gang, a service club, a lodge, a monastic order,
a corporation, or a competitive sport." Gearhart identifies the self-perpetuating,
male-exclusive reinforcement of power within these groups as corrosive
to female-led social change. Thus, if "men were reduced in number, the
threat would not be so great and the placement of species responsibility
with the female would be assured."
Gearhart, a dedicated pacifist, recognized that this kind of change
could not be achieved through mass violence. On the critical question of
how women could achieve this, Gearhart argues that it is by women's own
capacity for reproduction that the ratio of men to women can be changed
though the technologies of cloning or ovular merging, both of which would
only produce female births. She argues that as women take advantage of
these reproductive technologies, the sex ratio would change over generations.[14]
Daphne Patai in her book Heterophobia: Sexual Harassment and the Future
of Feminism summarizes Gearhart's essay as, "The future must be in female
hands, women alone must control the reproduction of species; and only 10%
of the population should be allowed to be male".[15]
Mary Daly supported Gearhart's proposals, stating: "I think it's not
a bad idea at all. If life is to survive on this planet, there must be
a decontamination of the Earth. I think this will be accompanied by an
evolutionary process that will result in a drastic reduction of the population
of males."
I've pointed out before that this game is silly and inconsistently applied.
It's a shit argument and here are a few more examples that I've come up
with to test whether or not you want to bring up this argument in the future:
public
education had roots in the KKK wanting to take students away from private
catholic schools and put them into public, protestant schools. Guess
we shouldn't be for public education anymore.
planned parenthood had roots in the eugenics movement. Oops.
holistic college admissions began as a way of excluding Jews who did too
well on grades/tests. Guess we should go back to just using grades?
the terms gender role and gender identity and sexual orientation were coined
by John Money who
was an abuser and all around piece of shit. Guess we shouldn't use those
terms anymore.
minimum wage in the US drove up black unemployment. Bacon Davis prevailing
wage law was seen as a way of getting black people to not be in construction.
The last time black unemployment was lower than white UE was in 1930, which
was when minimum wage began. Hm, abolish minimum wage because of its racist
beginnings?
gun control laws were originally meant to keep guns away from blacks. Let's
not have gun control anymore, then?
occupational licensing laws were meant to keep blacks out of certain jobs.
pink lemonade was literally invented by a racist clown.
9/12/23 (14:40)
Part of being liberal is that you tend to be more open and that usually
includes being more inclusive. This manifests itself in being the type
to include more letters in the LGBTQAI2S++ community and all that. But
it also means you're more likely to put up with wackos running around the
city, including
the library, making things difficult. Per the linked article, even
people in Oakland have their limit when it comes to crazies bothering people
in libraries. Hopefully these things are all adding up to a realization
to the fact that there should be limits to being inclusive and open and
tolerant. Taken alone, these things are fine and dandy. But all things
have their limits and this city is beyond reason when it comes to the oftentimes
nice inclination to include or tolerate diversity and all that.
8/8/23 (20:46)
The other day I was in Oakland driving down the street (International Blvd.
which is one of the larger streets in the city) and there was a dude on
his bike in the middle turning lane just slowly biking and pouring used
oil in the street. One hand on the handlebars and the other holding a 5qt
bottle of oil as he carefully dripped it all over the street. This is the
kind of Joker "see the world burn" kind of stuff that is not uncommon around
here. Purposeless agent of chaos and destruction.
Here's a little story about a section of the interstate that I often commute
along (I-580 around the 35th street exit)...2 years ago there was a fire
on the embankment by the interstate. It was immediately next to a gas station.
Fire department came along and put out the fire. Turned out it was a homeless
encampment fire that got out of control and burned much of the embankment
shrubbery. About 6 months ago the same area had another fire right next
to the gas station (same reason). This one went farther and ended up burning
some of the neighboring homes. A month after that Caltrans came along and
cut down all the brush in that area. A month after that the "atmospheric
river" that we had came through and caused that area to flood (in part)
because of all the soil erosion that ended up clogging the drain. Two months
after that someone came along and made lemonade out of lemons by planting
rows of corn in this area right next to the interstate. A few weeks after
that, Caltrans came again and cut down all the corn stalks at their base,
which caused an unusual amount of traffic. This would be funny if it weren't
so pathetic.
I recently heard that the city had 4,300 pending abandoned vehicle recovery
requests.
Last week I heard that the city had only 37 police on duty at the time.
For a city of 420k.
There's a section of the two lane road that we take to get to the freeway
that has been washed out for about 6 months. It's a one lane road in that
section. No clue when it will get a permanent fix. Funny thing is I saw
that section for years look like it was being undermined and I would always
go a bit into the opposing lane to avoid getting too close to the ever-shrinking
shoulder. Finally the big rains took it out and it may be years before
it gets fixed.
Another half a mile down the road from that section there's a guardrail
that has been broken and poking out into the road for about a year. They
put a cone next to it, but haven't repaired it. A month or so ago they
installed a new section of guardrail at the top of the same road. This
section is completely unnecessary and just a mile down the road from the
section that is 1) broken 2) necessary because it right next to the top
of a ravine that goes into a creek below 3) protruding into the actual
roadway. The crew that installed the new section of railing at the top
of the road would have definitely passed by the broken railing on their
way to install the new (unnecessary) section at the top of the road.
Fox got sued by a company called Dominion. It was a big story for a while
because the NYT and other liberal leaning media outlets love sticking it
to election deniers and Fox news, so this was a two for the price of one
story. Fox got what they deserved and I shed zero tears for them. The funny
thing to me was that I heard very similar claims from the liberal outlets
when Bush 2 was president. Perhaps you recall the stories talking about
another ballot counting company (Diebold) and how they were rigging the
votes for Bush. Much was made out of this at the time. A couple examples
here
and here
for some flavor. A lot of innuendo and conspiracy theory type thinking
happened at this time in relation to Diebold and counting votes for the
incumbent president. Now we have a different company and a different president
and more conspiracy theories, but Fox went too far out on a limb and will
pay a hefty sum as a result. Now here's the real kicker, and hopefully
you stuck around for it - Dominion acquired Diebold. They're effectively
the same fucking company. So we have the same company being accused of
fixing an election. The first time the mainstream liberal press was all
about it and the second time the conservative press was all about it, but
paid the price. It's hilarious to me that this happens. It's also hilarious
to me that I've listened to many a podcast about this from both the Left
and Right and NO ONE has pointed out the parallels and the fact that Diebold
was acquired by Dominion. You can't make this shit up.
There seems a growing contingent of people who want to flatten hierarchies.
I literally heard the argument that Cate Blanchett has won enough Academy
Awards already so they should give it to Michelle Yeoh. This has to be
the dumbest argument a person could make. I'm a principled guy, but I also
like to think that I like a good argument. There are bad arguments for
good principles and there are good arguments for bad principles. I like
good arguments. I hate bad arguments, regardless of whether or not I agree
with the side they are on. Maybe I think Yeoh did better than Blanchett,
but that doesn't mean I'll support the argument that Yeoh should win because
Blanchett has enough Academies already. In fact, I might change my mind
just because I hate that argument so much. This concept that we should
keep the best among us down just to make some people feel like things are
more fair is completely ludicrous to me. Though, as a John Stockton fan,
I do think Michael Jordan shouldn't have been allowed to win six championships.
They should have given one to Stockton and Malone and another to Barkley.
Those guys are hard workers and it would have meant so much to them to
have a championship. Jordan would still be great with 4 championships.
He's just being greedy to win 6 times.
8/7/23 (21:15)
One update a month isn't a great track record.
Still working on getting the permitting through the city for the new house.
People wonder why it costs 800k-1mil to construct "affordable" housing
in CA. Well, the ridiculous plan check process is part of it. Plus zoning
restrictions and public feedback and high cost of materials and restrictive
building codes, etc.
Building codes are yet another example of a well-meaning government intervention
that goes overboard. Codes started out well-intentioned and very common
sense. The intention was to have fewer buildings that were poorly constructed,
prone to fires, etc. At some point, though, they went away from the basics
of safety and expanded into ever shrinking realms of "safety." So, stair
codes that outline stair rising heights needing to be a minimum/maximum
height and within 3/8" of each other so that one step isn't 4" and the
next is 8" and the next is 6", turned into requiring handrails have a return
so you don't snag your long sleeve shirt on the railing. Sure, a nice touch,
but should there be a 1,000 changes to the code that all have this same
level of minutiae? The code book goes from a guide to building a safe enough
home to a requirement to build the safest possible structure.
More recently the codes have started to include things outside of safety.
Things that I would consider merely a nuisance like not allowing a counter
to overhang a sink because it creates a "hidden fouling area" between the
counter and sink. Codes require no common sense from their users (you,
the homeowner or tenant). They increasingly are sculpted with the dumbest,
most abusive possible user in mind. And, thus, the price for building such
a structure increases. Death by a thousand cuts.
All that's without mentioning the other somewhat more recent (like within
my lifetime, which I guess isn't that recent anymore) changes to the code
which make more and more energy requirements. In CA we need to have solar
panels on new builds and renovations over a certain size. Automatic light
switches in bathrooms. Dimmers throughout. Title 24 compliance light fixtures.
Mechanical engineers to verify that everything will be energy efficient
(cost us $16k for our build). Then there are the structural engineer requirements
(add another $10k or so). And architect fees (another $20K). Permitting
fees (depends on the size of the project and the municipality, but probably
$25k+ for a new build). Before a tradesman has even gotten to the jobsite,
the land and assorted fees and extras are costing over six figures.
In sum, it's basically impossible to build a bare bones, economical box
as shelter. And then people scratch their head and wonder why housing costs
so much. They make boogie men out of hedge funds that invest in real estate
or developers or landlords. I'm not a fan of some of these people, but
let's be honest about what's really driving these costs - government zoning
and building restrictions.
Edwin is one of my employees. He's worked for me about 4 years now. He
came as a refugee from Guatemala and has been working me pretty much the
entire time since he's been here. I fired him for a week once, but he asked
for his job back and I folded. Since then he's been doing better. Anyway,
lately I've been giving him work on Saturdays. I used to pay him under
the table, but he finally got his work papers so he's above board now.
He owed us over $6k (immigration lawyer, rental deposit, car trouble, etc.)
and was never going to be able to pay us back unless he got more hours
or a raise. I gave him a raise and told him what he needed to do to get
even more money. The last few months he's been working on Saturday and
I'll usually take some hours to pay down the debt. This pay period he asked
to get the whole amount he was owed since he had to pay rent. So, he had
79 hours during the week, plus 16 for two Saturdays. He texted to ask how
many hours I paid him for and I told him it was 95 hours. Our conversation
after that is below...
I guess I'll have to explain that he's helping pay for society and he's
lucky because even when he works a lot, they're only taking like 20-25%
of his paycheck. Rude awakening for him.
One note is that his English is bad so we have to use Google translate
all the time. A funny thing about Spanish (I stupidly took Latin in high
school so I didn't know this) is that "si" is the word for "yes" and also
"if." It can be pretty confusing depending on the context. I often write
to him in a way that I think will translate more easily. Another guy who
works for me, Jesus, speaks English pretty well, but is basically illiterate
so his spelling is awful and I have to try to figure out what he's saying
all the time. The other day he wrote "the bring tha cort." Luckily, in
that case, he had included a picture of an appliance cord we were talking
about earlier so I understood it to mean "they brought the cord."
I don't mention any of this to disparage. Jesus is a great guy and he speaks
twice as many languages as I do. Half the guys who work for me are illiterate
because they don't have any formal education past 6th grade. But they make
it work with technology and they can figure out their job when I show them
what to do and all that. Communication is a constant struggle, but we're
getting better at it. Just one of the many challenges I have to deal with.
The warehouse homeless encampment issue hasn't changed at all. We actually
met with a city councilman a couple weeks ago. I saw him walking outside
and Meryl happened to be at the warehouse also so I went and asked him
what he could do to help us out. We then toured the building across the
street from the warehouse. A youth program (YEP) has been working on a
build out there for over a year and he was touring it. The program director
talked about all the good stuff they do...long story short, they seem to
do a really good job. They train kids who are having trouble to hold a
basic job with some basic construction skills. They are held accountable
and they have to pay rent, so they have skin in the game, instead of it
being a hand out. I think it's a much better way of doing things than the
previous models that are all about giving people free shit without any
accountability or rules. It's a similar model to what they have north of
Austin, TX where they have affordable units that cost $80k/unit and homeless
is much less of an issue. At any rate, we followed up with an email to
him and his office and he said he'll put in the request to see if something
can come of it. We'll see. Basically every time I got there there's another
abandoned vehicle or some other b.s. Fucking 3rd world country.
At the end of the block that the warehouse is on there was an illegal casino
that was discovered and shut down. Last year there was a house across the
street from the casino house that was a gang house and they had a helicopter
out while they did a raid. Pretty good neighborhood overall.
Every week there are fires in Oakland and SF that are started by homeless
people trying to stay warm or cooking food or just having fun. They really
don't give a shit and don't mind if the world burns. Last week there was
one on Octavia in SF. Construction site that was getting close to done.
Neighbors had called about open fires that the homeless were starting,
but cops never did anything. Sure enough, a few weeks later and they burned
the place down. SF is actually better than Oakland, but, if actions are
louder than words, it appears that neither city really cares about this
stuff. If they don't care about property damage and the like, you'd think
that they would at least care from a climate change standpoint. I have
to imagine that wasting all those construction materials and burning them
has to have as much impact on climate change as driving a Hummer for the
rest of your life.
I don't think that most of the people who say they care about that stuff
actually care that much anyway. They are often the same people who take
more trips around the world than anyone else. Travel as much as you like,
but don't pretend one minute that climate change is an existential crisis
that will
kill us in 12 years and then go on trips all around the world the next
minute.
If the problem is more technology (nuclear, AI), then I'm pessimistic because
I don't think we can put the genie back in the bottle. I don't think we
can control ourselves. If the solution is more technology (cancer cure,
cold fusion), then I'm optimistic because the best of us can usually come
up with a fix to bail out the 99%. So, I think that climate change is probably
overrated in its likelihood for causing long term huge issues and I think
nuclear is probably underrated in the long run.
A couple weeks ago Taylor Swift was in town. Long story short, Meryl was
going to get tickets, but they were expensive and she was caught up in
the infamous Ticketmaster debacle so her dad and brother chipped in to
buy tickets for the girls and us. Going into the concert I knew about 4
TS songs and liked about 2 of them. The concert was about 80% female and
the men's bathroom was about 70% female as well. She's a good performer
and it was a good experience to be with the girls for their first concert.
It's also a pretty unrealistic idea of concerts...she played 45 songs and
it was about 3.5 hours long just for her part. After the concert I came
to the conclusion that there were about 5 songs I liked, which is more
than when the concert started. Some of her stuff I had heard before, but
I didn't realize it was her. She has a pretty wide range over her 10 albums.
So then I went on YT and listened to more and that ended with me just buying
all her albums. So I guess I own all of Taylor Swift's studio albums now.
Now that I'm 44 I don't really care about being cool so it kinda works
out.
The girls have been at sleep away camp 3 out of the last 4 weeks. It was
a pretty good break for Meryl and I. We got weekends and nights all to
ourselves. Got to see Oppenheimer on the opening night. We ate out too
much and got some long hikes in. Finally did a hike that was over 20 miles.
Did one that ended up being 24 miles and another this weekend that was
22 miles. Ass chafing seems to be the only thing that slows me down on
the longer hikes. Not sure if that's a good or bad thing. I'm sure it's
TMI, though.
Antonio is the guy on my crew who knows the most about construction. He's
slow and a bit of a prima donna sometimes, but overall reliable and he
cares. I hired him about 3 years ago when he was working for himself, but
didn't have very much work. He's Edwin's brother. Last week he told me
he's going to go out on his own again. Part of me wonders if he's doing
it because earlier this year things were slow and I asked if he could work
on his own projects for a while (he usually works 4 days for me and 2 for
his clients). Oh well. I'm in hiring mode now. The thing that makes it
worse is that when/if our new house permits are finally approved we'll
have to have one crew at that job as much as possible. So, ideally, I have
one person I can really trust at that job moving the ball forward every
day while also having 2 crews out in the field earning money to keep the
whole ship afloat. So, realistically, without Antonio, I'll need two new
guys who are good. One who will be somewhat temporary and another full
time permanent.
Spending money on defense is fine with me. Spend as much as we need. But
spending on offense is what I have an issue with. I also think the idea
of defense is too limited. Cyber security should be better. I expected
this to be more of an issue when the Russians attacked Ukraine. There
has been an uptick, but nothing that has gotten a lot of media coverage,
so I assume it hasn't been a huge issue so far. You could think of a lot
of ways in which we are not prepared for defense. Our military is probably
fine. Cyber is probably not as good as it should be. Supply chain was proved
to be a weak point. We should have a much better infrastructure and self-reliance
situation than we currently have. It's just impossible to change any of
this shit because of entrenched interests. Best case scenario we have a
benevolent dictator for 1-2 terms to get us back on track.
I think I've brought this up before, but I think it needs to be remembered.
If Trump were really a fascist and half way intelligent (which I think
he is), there were several opportunities for him to seize power that he
missed. For example, after defeating Clinton, he could have followed up
on his "lock her up" chants and had the Justice Department indict her.
He could have gone after all sorts of political enemies if he wanted. Nixon
was probably worse in this regard. During Covid there were countless opportunities
for him to manipulate things to his benefit. He put Pence in charge of
the Covid response. I actually thought he was going to dump Pence close
to the election and have him be the scapegoat, but he didn't and that decision
ended up being the nail in his coffin since Pence refused to go along with
the plan to not certify the election results. Trump could have sought to
change the election laws. In reality, many states did this to expand absentee
voting. He could have lied about a Covid surge in certain zip codes. He
could have called for martial law. I'm not very creative, but I'm sure
some of his more evil cronies could have come up with other ideas. Why
didn't he do any of these things? Covid was a good enough excuse that he
could have used it in all sorts of ways. Was he fascism-lite or not very
smart or what? Above all, I think he's a self-promoter. I think that explains
a lot of his behavior. Maybe he sees those things as lines that shouldn't
be crossed? Hard to imagine he has any lines, but apparently he does.
I'm not sure who's running the country right now, but I know it's not all
Biden. He's just not mentally aware enough to do it. Whoever is doing it
seems to be doing a decent job. I was skeptical for a long time that we
were going to be able to get the soft landing. I made a prediction last
year that we would have a recession by the end of 2023 (we had two negative
quarters in 2022 so I consider that prediction correct, even though they
didn't make it official because of low unemployment). I also made a prediction
that (annualized) inflation would be under 4% by the end of 2023 and that
happened last month so I got that one right also. For some reason, our
economy seems to have avoided what I thought were the realities of economics.
For years we've been hearing about overspending and the chickens coming
home to roost on that issue. It doesn't make any sense to me. Everything
I know about economics indicates that all the free money printing can't
last and the bill will come eventually, but every time we think it's going
to happen the economy exceeds expectations. Good
Frontline doc about it.
According
to NPR interest payments over the last 9 months reached $652 billion -
25% more than during the same period a year ago. Meanwhile we spend
about $850b on the military. So, perhaps that's the chickens coming home
to roost. What could we do with $652b in 9 months other than paying our
debtors? I guess the end result is opportunity cost and lost growth and
lost investment. I've been expecting economic calamity or a deep recession,
but maybe it's just an albatross around the neck of our economy that limits
what it could do going forward.
I witnessed a smash and grab burglary in downtown the same day that someone
stole tools out of my truck while it was parked in the driveway. Last week
there were prowlers in the neighbor's backyard. Things aren't getting better
yet. The good news is that everyone is finally paying attention. Only a
very few people still have their head buried in the sand or are still making
apologies for the people who are committing the crimes. Hopefully that
means we're going to start digging our way out of this soon.
UCSC
has this microaggressions list up still. When it first came out almost
a decade ago I thought it was kinda shocking. Now it's just funny to me.
Late. Time to sleep.
7/3/23 (15:51)
Birthday tomorrow. Plan on working at least part of the day to keep the
guys busy since most of them want to work at least part of the day. Had
planned on starting a big fence job today, but the fencing supplier was
closed. Today isn't a holiday and yet several places seem to be taking
the day off. This is annoying as hell. I had two days planned around picking
up the materials from this one place today and now I'm not able to get
it done. So I had to scramble and get the guys to go do different work.
Getting really tired of having to shift my plans around every day because
of suppliers or people not showing up to work (thankfully pretty rare with
the guys I have) or people changing their schedule. This job requires an
insane amount of flexibility. It's hard enough to do renovations where
things change as soon as you open a wall or whatever, but then you add
in all the other shit that changes and it gets pretty old.
6/25/23 (21:46)
Girls with grandma Friday so we got a date night and long hike in on Saturday.
We're pretty lucky with all the grandparents we have around (my mom, Meryl's
mom, Meryl's stepdad and his new wife, Meryl's dad/stepmom). It allows
for good backup during COVID and the occasional date night.
Hike was the toughest we've done in the bay area. 13.5 miles with 4300'
gained. This was a tough one for me. Top of my calves are tight today,
but otherwise no problems. Definitely huffing and puffing along the way,
though. Some pretty steep sections that I think are along the lines of
what C2C will be. I think if I work on my cardio I'll be okay for the big
hike in October. We have one long (19.8 mile) hike planned for later this
year before C2C, which should be a good test for the mileage. I'm not worried
as much about the mileage, though - I'm mostly concerned about the constant
climbing kicking my ass. Worst case scenario I have to stop for a minute
every half mile and it goes real slow. I'd prefer to only take a break
every two miles, but with a climb of 1,000' per mile I don't know how realistic
that is. Here's a breakdown from hikingguy.com (great site).
Today we celebrated Merritt's birthday. She had us have a relaxing morning
with donuts for breakfast. Then she had us go to an indoor entertainment
place with a ropes course and laser tag and arcade. After that we ran a
couple quick errands and went home. At home we did some art and she put
makeup on everyone (took a while for me to clean it off and can't say I'm
a fan of having makeup). Pizza for dinner. Any day with the family is a
good day. We're pretty good about getting family time in and having fun
together. It's the best part of my life. I fully expect the teenage years
to be different, so I'm trying to soak it all in as much as possible while
they are still happy kids who love being around their parents - as opposed
to being sassy little shits.
There are a lot of things I complain about in the bay area, but one of
the best things here is the hiking opportunities. There are so many different
places to hike and things to see. Not the tallest mountains by any stretch,
but still plenty of challenging hikes (if that's what you like) and plenty
of beautiful hikes with nice wildlife and views.
Everything can be toxic in the right (wrong) context or with too much of
it. Why, then, is masculinity the only thing that gets prefaced with how
it can be toxic. For example, I heard two men I respect (Scott Galloway
and Kai Ryssdal) speaking about masculinity and one of them (forget who)
felt it was necessary to preface his positive comments about masculinity
with a note about how toxic it can be. No one says that water, though it
can be toxic when mixed with pure potassium or consumed gallons at a time,
is a great thing to bring along with you on a hike. Masculinity gets that
treatment regularly. It bothers me a bit, but I'm a grown man so it ultimately
won't affect me much to hear the intelligentsia constantly remind us about
the downsides of being a man. But I do think it will have a detrimental
effect on young boys to hear that one of their defining attributes is so
dangerous and thought of so negatively by the respected ones in their community.
Europeans are often thought of as enlightened environmentalists. This is
like praising the poor man for being frugal. A poor man needs to be frugal.
When you have possibly the greatest environmental resources in the world,
it's no wonder you take it for granted. The rich man (usually) isn't checking
every single banking statement and invoice for discrepancies. I don't think
they came to their environmentalism because of deeper thought or better
morals...rather I'm guessing that they got there more because of their
environmental and economic reality. Just a thought.
6/13/23 (18:42)
Latest update on the warehouse homeless (unhoused, sorry) encampment issue
is that the city continues to not do anything. We have a liaison helping
us, but she's essentially worthless. Probably should fire her and give
that salary to someone who exists in the real world to move real, actual
objects (like trash and homeless people) where they belong (like in the
dumpster and into housing or jail or mental institution). Our homeless
neighbor belongs in the latter category. I caught him dealing drugs today.
Thankfully I got it on camera with my phone (still haven't hooked up the
cameras outside the building yet). I forwarded the video and additional
pictures to all the people we have interacted with. I expect they will
tow his vehicle and find rehab for him in the next 24-48 hours. lol.
I also called 311, which is for reporting dumping, abandoned vehicles,
etc. and talked with them for 15 minutes. Told them to tell homeless team
to get on this shit. Tell them I'm annoying asshole who won't stop berating
you, tell them whatever you want - I don't care - just tell them to get
the job done since this has been an issue for 7 months. Not sure how much
longer I want to deal with this shit. Getting pretty close to dealing with
this the old fashioned way.
The good news is that work has picked up and we're basically at normal
now. Have a few things in the hopper so that feels good. Wrapping up a
whole home renovation in the next week or so and we have things queued
up behind it so that will mean we can keep busy for a while. Unfortunately
we don't have a lot of customers who are flexible on timing. That would
be a nice addition. Some contractors deal with homeowners who want to redo
their bathroom or whatever and they are fine waiting 6 months. I don't
get many of those. Most of our work needs to be done pretty soon. Tenant
improvements and our commercial customers fit into that. Then there are
the customers who want to sell there home and have fixes they want done
(which has mostly dried up this year). Then there are the homeowners who
want to make an upgrade. Sometimes they can wait and other times they're
less flexible. Homeowners are the hardest to work for because they live
in the space and are the most picky. You also have to cleanup throughout
the day and leave things nice for them afterwards. But if we get homeowners
who are flexible on project timing, then it probably balances out.
When WaMu collapsed people pulled out $17 billion in 10 days. At SVB they
pulled out $42 billion in 2 days. We're going to need a bigger boat. Tech
types are more connected, have more uninsured money, and are more saavy.
Some people have blamed the capital for fleeing and said that the rich
people caused the issue...which has some truth to it, because that is the
literal cause of the collapse, but it also forgets that they pulled their
money because of actual structural issues at the bank. Now, we can say
that the issues weren't as problematic as to warrant pulling your money
out, but still... In an ideal world, people who have a lot of pull like
Peter Thiel, would tweet out that they're keeping their money in because
people and companies are always backstopped by the government - even if
the bank fails. This would have been a more mature response than just running
for the hills. Or maybe G should have stepped in when they saw money fleeing
and provded some guidance and reassurance on the issue. Maybe there should
be a circuit breaker in the system like there is with stock trading. Lots
of things that should have been done differently. I don't think you can
just blame the rich people who took their money out, though.
6/8/23 (22:29)
The old archive form not working anymore has been a thorn in my side. Just
want it to work like it used to. Spent too much time that I don't have
working on it already. The code is 20 years old and it worked fine for
19 years, but apparently Chrome changed something so now it doesn't work.
Works in Microsoft Edge. Also works if you load just the right portion
of this page, but when the sidebar is loaded as well then it doesn't work.
Frustrating because I know nothing about HTML and searching around hasn't
helped at all. gpt and Bard both haven't helped, though they did give me
new code I could use if I wanted to rewrite things. I'm just not sure why.
Okay, finally figured it out. Bard couldn't figure it out and neither could
gpt, so I guess humans can't be replaced yet. Turns out that chrome must
have a security setting that won't allow links to unsecured webpages. So,
I just changed the link from http://www.aptpupil.org/archive/may22.htm
to https://www.aptpupil.org/archive/may22.htm
Just adding the "s" to make it "secure" seems to have made all the difference.
I have no idea how this shit works, but I think it got it working. I hate
software.
More important to be loyal or honest?
I think I've written about this before, but the NYT podcast picked up the
story recently about the debate between phonics vs. "whole word method,"
or, as they called it, "balanced literacy." Basically, the latter method
emphasizes looking at the whole word or context within the sentence or
story to figure out what the word means. I think context is important,
but I'm firmly on the side of using phonics, especially early on, when
learning reading. Basically they've ruined a generation of kids because
of this balanced literacy b.s. and it's just hilarious to me how wrong
experts can sometimes be. John McWhorter has been a longtime proponent
of phonics and has said it would do more for black people than any other
single policy (iirc). He's a black linguist so he probably knows better
than I.
It's weird to me that we've been speaking and writing for thousands and
hundred of years...doing math for almost as long as well and yet we still
don't have a consensus on how to teach these things. The way they teach
even basic math these days is very odd. They have all these weird grouping
methods and weird diagrams. Some of it makes some sense, but I mostly think
this is just overpaid consultants finding new ways to sell shit.
We have more data than ever before in human history. We can organize and
search and manipulate and process that data better than ever before. And
yet, we can't figure out how best to teach kids to read and write in their
earliest years. There's something very wrong with this.
Some people are good at making money (hard work or luck or genes or upbringing...whatever,
don't care). Some people are good at making friends (hard work or luck
or genes or upbringing...whatever, don't care). We tax the people who make
money. We should start to tax the people who make friends. If you have
50 people you talk with on a regular basis, it's not fair. I talk to like
2 people on a regular basis. I feel unseen and unheard and unimportant.
I feel like I don't have friends. People with a lot of friends should be
forced to cut ties with some of their friends and befriend me instead.
They will need to spend 1 hour a month on the phone with me. Probably 10
texts or emails every 12 weeks (I'm not greedy). Once a year they should
be required to invite me to a meal or ball game or similar. People are
social animals. We can't live in solitary confinement. Why should you have
50 friends when some people only have 1 or 2? You don't need that many
friends. I need another friend more than you do. The Surgeon General says
that loneliness is an epidemic (not joking: 1
and 2)
and is the equivalent to smoking 15 cigarettes a day. It's not healthy
for me to only have a couple friends. Don't be greedy.
I'm joking, but not really. We need to have principles that answer the
question of when we take a thing from one person and give it to another.
Many of the arguments you hear about taxation are pretty bad arguments
(some of them are included above).
Same goes for giving people free shit. The free shit train seems to never
end. At some point in our past there was no government taking from some
to give to others. You can argue that that was worse and we're more evolved
because we have a system to take care of all our people (less true in U.S.
than some other Western Democracies). But what is the question that society
asks when deciding what to give for free and what to charge for? Is it
need? Everyone needs food, water, and shelter. But we only give those out
in some instances. Presumably when people can't provide for themselves.
But let's eliminate those people because I think most in polite society
agree that those people should be provided for. Let's talk about the middle
class. Most in polite society today think that the middle class should
get free healthcare, but not free food or shelter (not because they don't
need it, but because they can provide it themselves). The free shit crowd,
though, is steadily increasing the number of things that they consider
a right. I guess it's fine to a point, but I'd like to know what the principles
are here. What things should we provide for all citizens? What are human
rights and how do you determine that list? Should we give away for free
anything that can help the economy (free transportation or cell phones,
for example)? What's the test for determining this list?
Efficient interactions make me happy. I work in a single location sometimes
for a few months, depending upon the job we're doing. Usually I find one
or two lunch places that I like and pretty much get the same thing every
time. I'll call in my order and pick it up 10 minutes later when it's ready.
That makes me happy enough, but what really makes me hard is when I can
place my order in under 10 seconds. I've done this a few times and it's
a true joy. "Hello, you call Rio Adobe (mexican food place)?" "yes, this
is Chris can I have a shrimp burrito for carryout?" "okay 10 minutes."
"thanks." (click). It's a thing of beauty. I was at home depot a while
back and looking for a cart and there was a guy walking in my direction
toward the cart return with an empty cart. I made eye contact and pointed
at his cart. He pushed it real hard so it had enough momentum to get to
me. I gave a thumbs up and he gave an okay sign. No words were exchanged.
This is basically a perfect interaction in my book.
When someone wins the lottery it isn't a miracle. To them it's a miracle,
but there's a very good chance that someone will win the lottery each time
it is conducted. There's a very good chance that person won't be you. Given
that humans exist it's not a miracle that any of us is here, but it's a
little miracle that each of us individuals happen to be here. I mean, someone
was going to exist, but the fact that it's you or me probably means that
one (or many) or our ancestors was almost hit by a bullet (my dad was shot
at once while waiting at the bus stop) or escaped a pogram (like my great
grandma did when she was only 9 and fled Ukraine) or outran a bear 5,000
years ago. Any one of those ancestors not making it means that you or I
isn't here. It's only because every single one of those people lasted long
enough to make the next generation that you or I exist. Thank you to all
of them for doing what they needed to do to make it.
What's the opposite of Zen? American media.
There's a joke that women only want one thing, but no one knows what it
is. I think a better joke is that women only want one thing, but it changes
every day.
Is there a band that's more elevated by their vocalist than Pearl Jam?
There are better singers than Eddie Vedder, but I was listening to Ten
recently and thinking that he really made the band work.
You are the average of the five people you're closest to. I've said this
before in a different way, but that is a more pithy version. I've pointed
out (to my sister for example) that it's no coincidence that George Lucas
and Spielberg and Scorsese are all friends. Lucas isn't friends with the
guy down the street who shits himself and speaks in tongues all day.
Montana tried to ban TikTok. Probably won't go through for a variety of
reasons, but one of them is that Apple said they can't geofence individual
apps like that. So, we can make the internet, send a man to the moon, create
the iphone, track people all over the world, collect data on users to "greyball"
them as Uber did, etc., but it's just too darn difficult to not give access
to specific apps for people in specific areas. Sure. Yeah, I buy that.
If they were motivated then they'd find a way. What they mean is that we
don't have that switch already built so we can't do it easily. Cry me a
river.
I don't know much about it, but my understanding is that Quantum physics
explains how things on a very small level act. It works very well when
it comes to understanding physics on a small level, but not on a galaxy
level size. For that, the general theory of relativity seems to work very
well. They want to find a grand unifying theory that explains everything
equally well. It makes sense that the rules should be the same for the
small and large. But maybe things don't work that way. In my family the
system that works best is a Communist Dictatorship. On a societal level
a Representative Capitalist Democracy works much better.
We have a few spots in Oakland that get a lot of prostitutes. There's one
by the warehouse that is probably the most well known and it even got some
news coverage. What was the city's solution to this? Outreach to the young
women doing the work? Sting operation for the Johns or tricks? Increased
patrol? Nothing? No...they put up bollards in the roads to sort of block
traffic in that area. What makes this even better is that the city councilwoman
in our district thought this was a great idea and decided to lobby to make
the bollards permanent. I mean you can't make this shit up. I'm wondering
what will happen next year when the city realizes that prostitutes have
legs and are hooking one street up the block. Maybe they'll move the bollards
there.
How does the system either find the dumbest possible people or make smart
people act so stupidly? What is it about the system that does this?
I hate the "died by suicide" change in our language. Here's a person who
probably felt pretty helpless and incapable or unseen or whatever and now
we say they didn't even have control over their own death? Their death
may be the one thing they felt like they could control and then you take
that from them. Great move. Plus, it's just a dumb way of saying it. They
didn't die by anything but their own hand. I don't understand the point
of it and think it's kind of insulting. I'll never do it, but if I do kill
myself I forbid you from saying I died by suicide. Just say "he blew his
mind out in a car. He didn't notice that the lights had changed"
We effectively have a cap on the number of doctors we can make each year
(look
into it, it's depressing...basically
another way the G is failing)...why don't we limit the number of lawyers
we can make each year? Seems like a much better thing to limit.
Officially have Cloud's Rest on our hike calendar for October. Also have
Cactus to Clouds on our calendar for October. Should be a good month of
hiking.
Did 3 hikes in May. One for Mother's Day was to hike to the top of Mt.
Tam...there are a lot of ways to the top, including like 1/4 mile hike
from a parking lot. We took the longest hike (with the girls) and it ended
up being 14.8 miles with 2350' gained. They did a great job. I'm really
impressed by them. I was probably in my 40s when I did my first 15 mile
hike. I honestly can't remember doing one that long until recently and
they're doing it at 7 and 9 (almost 8 and 10). The week after that we did
a 7.8 mile hike that was very flat. When we told them we were hiking again
they kinda groaned until we told them it was only 7 miles and then they
said "oh that's easy."
We've made it a goal to do this
peakery challenge of 31 peaks in the bay area. I don't know what the
significance of these peaks is...maybe the tallest hikable peaks in the
area? Many of them are pretty unremarkable (only give are over a 3k') -
they say they are iconic peaks, whatever that means. Anyway, we all like
a goal and a challenge, so we'll be doing that. Meryl and I have done 3
of them, but we'll have to redo them to make it official. Some of the hikes
are short and others are long. Most of them have variable lengths as there
are many ways to the top. When the girls were looking at them they were
deciding which hike to take to the top and were scoffing at the 5 mile
hikes as too easy.
I've done a total of 13 hikes this year so far for a total of 137 miles.
I'd like to do more, but it's difficult to schedule. Only have two days
a week and most of the time the weekends have softball games or birthday
parties or that kind of thing. I'm not in good cardio shape, but my joints
and muscles seem to generally be able to handle whatever we do. I'm generally
not sore the next day and my feet only start hurting after 10 miles or
so. I need to train the cardio end of things more for CTC. 20.2 miles,
with the first 9 miles being 8,000' of vertical climb. After that I'm not
too concerned about it. But getting out of the hot desert with that kind
of climb is going to be a big challenge.
6/5/23 (16:21)
Working on figuring out the archives link above, which hasn't been working
for a while. I liked the drop down menu look, but couldn't figure out how
to make it work. Asked Chat GPT to figure it out for me. Asked for a few
different menu styles and asked for it to fill it all out for me including
all the months for all the years. It's working on it now. Taken about 15
minutes to get it to do what I want, but I think I'll get it by the time
I upload this. Definitely a time saver. What's bizarre is that the hardest
part hasn't been getting the right HTML, but getting it to fill out all
the years for me. I don't want to manually fill out 1999-2023 so I asked
gpt to automatically fill it out for me. It would get from 1999-2002 and
then skip to 2022. It's as if the program is actually lazy. It should be
the simplest part to do and yet, just like people, it doesn't want to do
the drudgery. Very odd. I actually couldn't get it to fill out all the
months and years for more than just a few years at a time. After doing
5 years, it just skipped ahead to the end. This is hilarious. So, I'll
do them in batches and then end by hand. 1999-2004 and then 2005-2010 and
then 2015-2020 and then 2021-2023 (see how I spelled it all out instead
of just saying "etc." or "Repeat the pattern for the remaining years"?
6/5/23 (07:05)
Been a lot busier lately, which is good news. No layoffs, so I'm happy
about that. Not much time to update. Will try soon.
5/8/23 (13:39)
Today I talked with city employees (one who is a liaison for a council
member in our district and the other works in the public works department)
about the homeless situation in front of the warehouse. Essentially they
both said it was horrible what was happening and they felt bad. They told
me not to give up. They said they would send someone from public works
to take a look at it, but if it's a homeless encampment then they will
have to kick it to the homeless encampment team. I told them when it comes
to empathy everyone in the city is a 10/10. But when it comes to actually
moving physical things in the real world (not emails or phone calls) they
have been a 1/10. I told them it's been 5 months of nothing getting done.
I asked what the policy is if RVs showed up in front of Jerry Brown's (former
Governor who lives in Oakland) home on Skyline and they had nothing to
say. They talk all this shit about equity and disparities, but when the
rubber meets the road they are worthless. The warehouse is in a shitty
neighborhood so it receives no services. They blamed the inaction on the
big Wood Street encampment taking all the resources, but that's bullshit
because they've only been working on that for the last 3-4 weeks since
the Federal judge allowed them to finally clear it out. Professional emailers
and bullshitters. I told them I wouldn't have any business if I talked
with my customers about getting a door installed for 5 months without actually
installing any doors. But the city has a monopoly so they do whatever they
want. Pretty fucking simple. I'm looking forward to some competition for
the government...we need to bring back the mob to enforce some basic laws.
5/4/23 (07:45)
OUSD teachers are going on strike so the kids are home today. It was that
or cross the picket lines and have them alone with the principal all day.
Since Zoe is already a "racist n-----" we figured it was better to not
add "scab" to that list. lol
Business is as slow as it's ever been. If it were me and a two guys we'd
be fine, but I have 5 guys so it's slow. Told one of them to take as much
side work as he could so he's off this week. Told the young kid to look
into (carpentry/electrical/etc.) classes at the local community college
and I'll help pay for it.
We did some email marketing and we're slowly working on our SEO and online
stuff to get more business that way. I've known for a long time that we
should have marketing in place for times like this, but I never had the
time to take the advice. Now I have the time, but I also need all of it
to be in place already, so I screwed the pooch there.
4/19/23 (16:27)
I've barely had time to play around with chat gpt or similar, but this
thing is a huge step above Google search. It's a good high school level
researcher that spits things out basically instantly. Marginal content
creators and programmers are going to lose their jobs over this, guaranteed.
It doesn't come up with original ideas so far as I'm aware, so the people
who actually know what they're talking about won't be replaced, but the
majority of content creators are just pontificating and rehashing the party
line, so they'll be gone. It's a very powerful tool.
It can be your best friend or a tutor or it can role play with you. In
a perfect world people could use it to steel man a position they disagree
with. In reality, people will use it to solidify what they already believe.
They could definitely charge for this and maybe that would be a good thing.
One of the original sins of the internet is that it's free and so the money
had to come from advertising and that has had all sorts of issues.
4/13/23 (18:45)
As bad as this country is doing right now, if my city could get half the
basics at least half way right, I would probably not be so pessimistic.
I think the national political situation gets way overrated. Everything
becomes a national debate, and that's part of the problem. National politics
are important, but they're not everything....in fact, they matter less
than what's going on in your city and state. Easy to forget that since
the media is so concentrated on the federal level and local media is a
shell of what it once was. Another way the internet has absolutely gutted
our society. At this point I honestly think the internet has done more
harm than good.
That said, the national dialogue is in a bad spot now. We need a national
pep talk. We need a real leader. We need someone who isn't afraid to tell
it like it is and is above politics. Someone has to tell us that it's time
to pull up our pants and get to work. We're acting like a bunch of bitches
right now. This country took out the Nazis and the Japanese and then made
them both our friends after. There's gotta be some of that greatness left
in our cultural DNA. We're so fucking spoiled and our system allows us
to vote for people who will just continue to give us free shit and tell
us what we want to hear.
4/12/23 (20:13)
Had a little issue with Zoe the last couple days. The other day she was
hanging with friends and apparently they "roast" each other sometimes.
Zoe got a zinger thrown and her and she threw the exact insult back and
it became some kind of incident where people ganged up on Zoe. This is
dumb 9 year old shit. It bothers me that Zoe is the odd one out, but I
get it. She's kind of different and I don't think she fits in well with
the kids in school. Not sure how to help her with that. Besides her feeling
bad about getting picked on, the thing that bothers me the most is that
she used the same insult back at her "friend" since that shows a lack of
creativity. You can tell I'm not real broken up about 9 year old drama...
However, after the incident, Meryl and I talked with her about roasts and
how they work and how they aren't really appropriate for 9 year olds anyway
and that sort of thing. In the conversation, I mentioned that things were
a lot worse in my day and Meryl kinda piggy backed on that and told a yo
mama joke - "yo mama so fat that when she wears a Malcolm X t-shirt helicopters
think she's a landing pad." Meryl added that you shouldn't repeat that
joke because people would think it's body shaming and maybe even racist
these days because they're so sensitive. Well, Zoe went and told her friend
the joke...that friend told another mutual friend (who is mixed race) and
from there other kids heard the joke and the joke ended up morphing into
"yo mama so dark you can't find her in the shadows." Eventually this ended
in one kid (who slapped Zoe in the face last year without any repercussions,
despite us telling the principal) calling Zoe a "racist n-----." I honestly
can't think about the whole thing without laughing since it's all so ridiculous
(Being called a racist n-word is hilarious on its face. The whole telephone
game aspect of it is hilarious. The fact that we were explicit about NOT
repeating the joke and yet it immediately got repeated...). I'm here typing
about 9 year old drama as if any of it matters. And yet, it kinda does.
Because the principal finds out and then writes Meryl an email about inappropriate
racial comments from Zoe and how Zoe is being told inappropriate jokes
at home.
So why does any of this matter? Because of the culture we live in here
in Oakland, this is the kind of thing that people take really seriously.
There is zero humor on any of these subjects. There will probably not be
a lot of understanding about the situation and so this kind of thing may
now follow Zoe around the rest of the year. Friend #2's mom doesn't want
to talk with Meryl about it today because she is still "processing" the
incident. The culture here is broken. I hate it. I hate the way people
talk. I hate how humorless they are. I hate how dogmatic and unthoughtful
they are. Everybody has their head up their ass. Luckily for me I don't
care about these people. Meryl actually does because she's probably a better
person than I am, but that means this whole thing bothers her more so that
sucks.
So tonight I went over the whole thing with the girls. 1) listen to us
when we tell you not to repeat shit. 2) maybe you can't trust some people
with sensitive information 3) don't talk about race with anyone other than
the people at this dinner table. Listen to people about it, but don't ask
questions or give opinions. You told a joke that wasn't remotely about
race and it got turned into you being a racist n-word...think about the
implications of that.
I also told Zoe about the fable of the frog
and the scorpion. It made her cry for some reason. But her goody two
shoes friend is a scorpion who is just going to repeat things because
it's what she does. Same goes for Zoe, I suppose.
If we lived in Ohio I'm sure there would be church related drama or whatever.
Every place has their issues. But I'm over this fucking place. Basically
every day there's a new reason to hate it. Bills from the city for bullshit.
Shit getting stolen or vandalized. Garbage customers. I don't need to go
over the list...you've read these pages.
4/11/23 (11:42)
I
was pretty close on all of these. Household income over $50k I overestimated
by 20% (maybe because of where I live). Everything else I was close on.
Perception and reality are so different and it tells a big story about
where we are these days as a society. People have these crazy views like
1/5 people are transgender (actually it's less than 1%) or 2/5 people are
black (actually it's 13%). They think that thousands of black people are
being gunned down by cops every year (actual
number is less than 300 and it's like 20
who were unarmed). We can't possibly have a reasonable conversation
or fix any problems if we don't know the basic facts. If we think that
police killing black people is a bigger threat than drugs, then we're not
going to help black people. The reality is that drugs are far worse for
black (and white) people than cops are. And, I'd argue, that the upside
of drugs is less than the upside of police. So, the upside isn't as good
and the downside is worse...yet I don't hear the media or BLM or Al Sharpton
or anyone else talking about drugs at nearly the same rate as talking about
police. Ideally, our outrage would be proportionate to the reality of the
problem. I was no fan of the uproar and 3 year TV show that COVID became,
but at least it was a real issue. At least a million Americans dying could
be said to justify the level of coverage. Now if we could also make the
coverage better, then we'd really be on to something. Once again, the media
misinforms us, divides us, muddies the issues, makes us dumber, and make
society demonstrably worse.
This guy is hilarious.
I did a job for a lady once who had a pretty rough looking house inside
and out. Her kitchen cabinets were put together from a variety of different
sources. As she described it, she had gotten free cabinets from a few places
and an ex boyfriend put them all together for her to make it work. The
kitchen flooring was a disaster as well, with patches and generally bad
maintenance. She asked me to install a new tub surround and kitchen counters.
She was referred by my #1 customer and he asked that I give her my best
deal, so I did. After I gave the price she started asking for freebies
like hauling away extra trash or patching the wall adjacent to the shower.
I told her what the added price would be, but she declined because she
wanted it for free. I hired my usual counter guy to do the counters and
they came out great even though her shitty cabinets could barely be described
as adequate for supporting them. We made some improvements (no extra charge)
to make it work and I gave her the bill. Afterwards she sent me a few pictures
of literally the smallest possible issues that she had with things. The
caulking was missing a spot that was approx. 1/16" x 1" on the counter
to backsplash transition. The caulking in the shower wasn't perfectly smooth.
Then she started asking all sorts of questions about what materials we
used and how we did things. Of course I gave all the right answers, but
it made me wonder why she waited until things were done to ask the questions...
I generally forget about about these people pretty quickly. It's one of
the good things about having a bad memory - I forget all the difficult
people and annoying days. While I forget the specifics, I do have a general
sense of things that comports with that experience. So, I have a general
disposition that dealing with the city building department is a pain in
the ass, and I know it's a justified feeling, but I couldn't give exhaustive
evidence that would back those feelings up. I may recall a story or two,
but there are 10 more stories I've forgotten for every 1 I remember. At
any rate, I thought about her again because the city of Oakland complaining
about our bags of soil reminded me of her. It's like a gunshot victim coming
into the ER and asking for his ingrown nail to be treated. "what about
the massive hole in your stomach, sir?" "can you just fix my fucking ingrown
nail already?!" Same goes for my first point in this post - misplaced priorities.
Sometimes it's because of bad information and other times it's some kind
of mental illness that makes you ignore the most pressing issues and over
focus on minutiae. Losing the forest, for the trees. I've seen homeless
women in shambles, wearing rags, with open sores on their skin... brushing
their hair as if it made a difference. Yes, it's a point of pride and maybe
it's all she has left, but for fuck's sake, your hair is not the issue,
lady. Get to a hospital.
As for the customer, we went back and touched-up the caulking to make her
happy. Afterwards I think she was happy, but she did want a discount if
she paid cash and I said no. Some people always want more. They want a
deal or they want free shit or they want to feel important or something.
I don't understand the psychology of it. Why did she wait until the job
was all done to ask if we used mold resistant drywall? Maybe because she
was hoping to catch me and get a discount? Maybe because she honestly didn't
think to ask until right after the job was complete (months after our first
meeting)? Maybe because she wanted things to fail so it would fit her view
of the world that things always go wrong for her? Some people are like
this. Some
people play these games. Getting tired of people. I'd have a much better
view of humanity if I didn't have to deal with so many people.
4/10/23 (10:17)
Tested positive for COVID this weekend. Had to go to government mandated
re-education camp (I mean...an 8 hour class on how to deal with lead in
building materials...need to go every 5 years) on Thursday. Medium sized
room with a bunch of guys and no open windows or doors. Pretty sure that's
where I got it. First time I've officially gotten it. I suspect I got it
in February of 2020 because Merritt's friend came back from China/Korea
and got Merritt sick and then everyone in the family got pretty sick (felt
like the flu). So, probably the second time I've gotten COVID. But I got
vaccinated so I'm not sure how I got sick this time...very strange. As
a true purveyor of truth Rachel
Maddow once said "Now we know that the vaccines work well enough that
the virus stops with every vaccinated person. A vaccinated person gets
exposed to the virus, the virus does not infect them, the virus cannot
then use that person to go anywhere else." So, anyway, I somehow have mysteriously
acquired the virus despite Maddow's proclamation that it's impossible.
To doubt her when she said it would have been sacrilege, but today it's
fact that she was wrong. Funny how that works out. Just a friendly reminder
that science isn't a solid unchanging thing like a rock or a book. It's
a process and a way of thinking. I'm an idiot who paints walls and bangs
nails for a living and even I understand that. And, actually, books change
all the time these days. So I guess that was a bad example.
Anyway, I got it and so I took off half a day Friday and took it easy this
weekend (watched lots of movies). I'm probably at 80% now. Short of breath
and my skin doesn't like the feel of clothes rubbing on it, but pretty
good otherwise. Set the guys up this morning and ran a couple errands (with
a plastic bag over my head, don't worry) and now I'm working on paperwork
at home.
Girls are living upstairs while I get downstairs and hopefully I test negative
soon. Pretty surprising that it took so long to get it considering how
much I have been out in public since day one and how infrequently I wear
I mask (not at all since CA lifted the requirement).
Got a NOV (notice of violation) from the city of Oakland this weekend.
I've dealt with these NOVs many times for other property managers, so it's
not really new to me, but this is the first time getting it for my own
property. We got it for the warehouse, which they are saying is blighted
because of the trash people leave on the corner (city property) and because
of a few bits of graffiti - one of which I didn't even know about and one
that we took care of before I even received the NOV. This is both hilarious
and infuriating for me. As you may recall, we have been trying to get the
city to do something about the dumping since the first weeks that we took
ownership of the building (about 18 months ago). People in the neighborhood
believe that they are legally able to dump things there (in part) because
the city continually and consistently picks up the trash. We put up a city
sign that says no dumping, but people do anyway.
We have been battling the taggers since the first days we owned the building
as well. We've paid thousands to have the graffiti removed both professionally
and by our guys. The chemicals aren't cheap and neither is labor. We've
also spent months trying to get the city to remove the homeless encampment
that is a magnet for this kind of shit.
Now we get a letter saying that we will need to pay $2,718 if we haven't
taken care of things by the reinspection date. If we want to appeal then
there is a long and potentially expensive process for that. $137 for the
filing fee. Plus (if you lose appeal) $1,009 processing fee and $225/hr
fee for review of evidence, etc. I'm sure the appeals process is completely
neutral and unbiased considering they are city employees and not a third
party...wait, oops.
I forgot to mention the other complaint besides the graffiti and trash
on the corner...we have a few bags of potting soil that we keep outside,
which is apparently a violation: "open storage of recyclables in unapproved
locations."
The whole thing is just hilarious for so many reasons:
Potting soil isn't recyclables.
Storing potting soil (in bags) outside is somehow unapproved?
I clean up the graffiti off our building more than 95% of the neighborhood
does
The dumping isn't caused by us and we even offered to have the city put
up signage and cameras on our building to help with it...they followed
up with the signs, but nothing else.
We are taxpaying and law-abiding citizens, but we're getting bills for
this stuff while the people who cause the trouble get a pass
The appeals process is ridiculous and probably rigged.
Oakland has so many more issues to worry about and yet this seems to be
one that they're actually able to follow up on?
But here's how they think about it - you're a rich landowner. Attacks on
capital and capitalism are okay. We don't care if it costs you thousands
a year to dump other peoples' trash or scrub graffiti or what extra you
have to pay for property insurance. You're rich, so cry me a river.
The sooner I can leave and stop paying this city taxes, the better. It's
horribly run and needs to be taken over by the state and given an enema.
The first picture below highlights what is unacceptable to the city of
Oakland. The second picture highlights what is protected by the city of
Oakland, within 15' of the first picture. Here
are some more images of things that the city apparently has no problem
with. This is an album I occasionally add to as I have time to stop
and take a picture. It covers maybe 5% of what I see out there.
3/29/23 (14:51)
This week has been frustrating. Very slow. Rainy. Tenant schedules not
aligning with ours. Mostly the issue is that when I don't have enough work
for the guys then it's a big drain on my mind. It's enough work as it is
keeping them on track and doing things the right way and making schedules
work. But it's 10x worse when there isn't enough work to scrape together.
3/28/23 (10:51)
Guess I'm just an old fogey, but I don't get why everything requires a
fucking app these days. Want to go to a baseball game? Need an app and
jump through dumb hoops. I do work for a national storage company and now
they want me to do everything online. When guys are at the job they need
to sign in and be at the job (the app tracks their location) and then we
need to upload pictures before, during and after. Need to check in and
check out. Just makes everything more difficult for no good reason. And
everything requires a new login and password and they all have different
standards for it and some of them make you login anew every time and some
of them don't let you save the password in your password manager (or maybe
they're just not compatible). I hate this shit. Probably half of it is
not an improvement over the old way, but because it's new people and companies
feel the need to do it.
3/20/23 (22:39)
Not a great day.
Last week we took 4 days off to go to the Grand Canyon. I've been there
5 times now and it's a great place. Not my favorite park, but I think it's
the best sight to see in the NPS. The grandeur of the canyon is amazing
and it has the best single viewing experience in the NPS system. Yellowstone
is my favorite park (been there 3 times), but Grand Canyon is more of a
must see.
Meryl's aunt has been battling cancer for a while now. She's a pretty amazing
lady who used to do a ton of outdoorsy stuff (lots of rock climbing and
hiking and white water rafting), but doesn't do as much as she'd probably
like these days. But she did some of Half Dome with us (she broke it up
into two days) and she did all of this one with us. In a big way, I think
she's the reason her family is doing these hikes together so that's the
motivation for taking time off and making time to do something I normally
wouldn't. It was just the 5 of us (Meryl and her aunt, brother, dad, and
me). GC down and up has been on my list for a little while so that was
another reason to take the trip.
I have to admit that I underestimated the hike a bit. After doing Half
Dome and several other 10+ mile hikes I thought it wouldn't be so bad.
But there were a few new challenges with this hike. First of all, the NPS
system doesn't recommend doing his hike in a day, but I think that's mostly
because of the heat (which didn't apply to us in March). But also part
of it is that it's a reverse hike in that you do the downhill first and
then end with the climb after 7 miles of descent. In our case we also had
to battle about 1.5 miles of snow/ice on the top section of the descent
and then another 2 miles of snow on the ascent (the last 2 miles of the
hike). We took a path that went down South Kaibab trail to Bright Angel
campground (about 7 miles) and then took the Bright Angel trail to the
top of a different trail head than we left from (another 10-ish miles).
Actually, Meryl and I went up the long way and the other 3 went back up
the way we went down. Meryl and I also went to the ranger station and campground
a bit so we ended up doing about 18.5 miles and they ended up doing about
14.5.
After the descent, which I usually don't have a problem with so I went
pretty quickly, my left knee started hurting. It didn't get better as the
hike went along. Since we stopped a lot along the way down to wait for
family and take pictures, we didn't have a lot of daylight left for the
trek up hill. Meryl and I also stupidly left our headlamps at the air bnb
so we kinda screwed ourselves into having to move quickly on the way up.
The first couple miles of Bright Angel are quite flat and it was then that
I realized the longer route wasn't actually going to be any less steep.
I had read that it was an easier trail than Kaibab, but I guess that's
because it's more shaded, not because the climb is any less difficult.
My knee was really killing me on the way up, but there wasn't much I could
do about it. Meryl brought hiking poles so she let me use one or two of
them along the way and that helped. Other than that, I just had to deal
with it. It was a pretty unpleasant 5 hours of climbing from the bottom
to the top. We stopped twice on the way up for a total of 15 minutes, but
climbed the rest without stopping or slowing much. The snow at the top
of Bright Angel was definitely worse than Kaibab and it really made things
more difficult. We were definitely counting down the steps the last couple
miles. It's about 3,000' in elevation gain in 4 miles. The lowest elevation
is about 3700' and the highest is about 6800'.
I'm no expert hiker, but this was the most brutal hike I've done. I think
the descent being first really fucked with me. I thought it would be easier
than it was. I never have knee problems on steep descents, but I did here
and it was in the first 40% of the hike - which didn't help things for
trying to get out of the canyon.
The other thing I probably didn't do well is enough prep for this long
hike. In the last month I only went on two hikes for a total of less than
16 miles. I probably should have doubled that training for this hike.
Next marquee hikes on the horizon are (hopefully): Clouds Rest (12.5 mi,
3200'). Cactus to Clouds (21 mi, 10,800'). We have a bunch of other hikes
that are in the area and supposed to be real nice, but those two are the
big name hikes I'm looking forward to. I'm hoping the girls can do Clouds
Rest with us. They've done at least one 12 mile hike before. Cactus to
Clouds is one of the toughest day hikes in the world according to Backpacker
Magazine and hiker lore. For whatever reason, doing that appeals to me.
A year ago I would have thought it was just dumb to do something like that,
but I like it now and I'm not sure why.
We're pretty lucky in CA to have so many great hikes and trails. It's amazing
that we have such great natural resources and such shitty people/leaders.
Part of the reason I guess I like hiking is that it's a distraction free
time. I don't have to worry as much about work. I get to talk with Meryl
or the kids and have relaxed conversations. Nature also orients you properly
in the world. Especially a place like the Grand Canyon, which tells you
exactly how much you matter in the world. The canyon took 6 million years
to form and the rocks at the bottom are 1.8 billion years old. How much
can you matter when you're looking at that? How seriously can you take
anything you worry about while being amongst that.
One of the more depressing things about going to national parks is a stat
I heard once (not sure of the exact numbers, but...), about 90% of park
visitors don't go more than .25 miles from their car. It's pathetic. On
the one hand, at least they are going to a national park and making some
kind of effort. On the other hand, they've gone all this way and then they
can't be bothered to get out of eyesight of their vehicle. When you hike
these longer trails you see very few people along the way (maybe 30? over
17 miles) and then you see another 30 in the last .5 miles. And the closer
you get to the end the dumber and less kind the people get. The first few
hours of the hike we were being rained on and it was 40 degrees and we're
trying not to slip on the ice and we're all basically just doing what we
have to do to keep going. Then we get close to the top at the very end
of the hike and it's no longer raining and it's probably 50 degrees and
yet teenagers are complaining to their parents about the temperature and
not wanting to walk anymore. Meryl and I were blown away.
This year is going to be slooow. Definitely depressed today thinking about
possibly needing to layoff or curtail hours. Trying to do everything I
can to keep the guys busy while keeping the business profitable enough
to at least tread water. If we get out of this year with all the guys and
don't dip into savings much then I'll consider it a success. Last year
we put a lot in savings and also bought our new house (if the city ever
approves our plans). This year my expectations are drastically reduced.
The Fed giveth and the Fed taketh away. That's about the most generous
way I can interpret these events.
Merritt said the other day that when you are 13 through your 20s you are
not wise at all. A very wise observation.
Federal outlays (spending) have tripled in the last 20 years. I mean, wtf.
Just look at Bush's first proposed budget compared to Biden's latest. It's
ridiculous.
Let's say you have a teenager who sucks at riding his bike. He can barely
get to the end of the block, is constantly falling over, losing his bike,
etc. Then he wants a car and you give it to him for some reason. He can't
drive for shit either. Hits an old lady crossing the street, has dents
all over the car, never changes the oil. But for some reason you decide
to give the kid a big rig, and then a helicopter, and then a plane, and
then a rocket ship. This is basically what we're doing with the government.
It
can't enforce child labor laws. It can't audit billionaire hedge funds.It
can't regulate failing banks. It
can't regulate trains. It can't even win wars it starts anymore. Yeah,
let's give that same government more responsibility and power. Let's start
another program. Let's expand its purview. Let's have another department.
How well are the recently added departments doing? Homeland Security (2002)
is the most recent. I'd say it's a mixed bag with a lot of secondary issues
that it created (like lack of privacy).
Veteran Affairs (1989). All I ever hear about the VA is how many problems
there are. I used to go to camp near a VA hospital. It was basically just
a hang out for homeless people. Nothing good seems to be happening there.
Total shit show.
Department of Education (1979). Do I even need to comment on this one.
If you charted US education relative to other OECD nations it would probably
be a line straight down starting in 1979. We're not sniffing the top 10
anymore and we used to be at, or near, the top.
Just fire these people and start over. Shutter the departments if they're
not performing. Accountability over everything at this point. Crack skulls
or we're done for.
We're done for.
Friend Jon is leaving the country for New Zealand.
Also found out this week my aunt is leaving the country for Amsterdam.
The ship is sinking.
Sorry for another depressing post.
3/13/23
Sometimes
you just have to fight shit out. Maybe it's more of a guy thing. And
that's coming from a guy who has never been in a fight in his life. But
an old-fashioned fist fight is sometimes the best thing to set the hierarchy
straight and get respect from someone who isn't willing to give it.
3/7/23 (21:08)
Meryl's best friend from elementary school is a teacher who lives in Oakland.
Today the catalytic converter was stolen off her car. This shit is just
getting ridiculous. Oh, wait, I should have mentioned that this is the
3rd time in 5 months. Great city we have here.
No movement (or even response) from the multiple people who were on the
email chain regarding the homeless encampment in front of the warehouse.
Inmates are running the asylum.
Business really slow now. Almost as bad as its been since COVID. We have
a couple things lined up, but not much. And money is low (though we are
owed a lot, including the money from the guy who refuses to pay us $40k).
Started putting out feelers and following up on jobs. The toughest thing
is having 5 guys who rely on me and not wanting to cut their hours or anything.
I think this year will be about 60% of last year.
Will try to focus on customer service and quality this year. May need to
take some jobs at a loss just to keep everyone busy.
It wouldn't be so bad if we were able to get to work on the new house.
Unfortunately it (plan set) hasn't even been submitted to the city yet
(hopefully this week). Engineer took forever. Zoning took a while. Once
the city (Alameda, not Oakland) gets it they will drag their feet and make
comments and that dance will take anywhere from 2 weeks (yeah right) to
3+ months, depending upon how much bullshit they come up with and how many
days off they take.
City of Oakland (RIP) was hacked a few weeks back (possibly more depending
on who you ask). They didn't pay the ransom so now a bunch of personal
information was leaked. What a shit show. Can't keep schools open. Can't
run a police department (still under federal oversight). Can't keep own
employees data safe. Can't get voicemails (because of the hack). Can't
keep sports teams (Warriors left, Raiders left, A's want to leave). At
what point does the State step in and just take over? Shoulda happened
already.
3/1/23 (20:34)
it's a long one. hopefully you read it all.
Official
Oakland encampment management policy. Pretty good for a laugh, especially
considering they don't execute their own plan. I wonder how many hours
were spent coming up with this and debating it for them to just not enforce
it in a meaningful way.
In the policy document they have the usual whereas clauses that layout
the conditions of the policy. Then they have the exhibit section and the
first part of that is the Introduction. After that they get into the meat
of laying out the purpose and means of the policy. So what's the first
thing they address? Equity. I've gotten past the point of feeling bad about
pointing this kind of thing out. Equity is a nice enough idea - though
I prefer Equality (yes, I know that saying that is an official microaggresion
- like actually listed in a book, I'm not just making this up). But to
put Equity above public safety seems a bridge too far.
Looked it up because things at our warehouse are not any better despite
many calls and emails, etc. to the city about cleaning the area up. I called
them today and they told me that their computer system is down so they
can't put any new requests in. I said it didn't matter anyway and that
I was just calling to see what to do to get something done in the real
world (as opposed to creating a new virtual request that gets ignored).
He said he understood my frustration. We got to talking a bit and he said
that they can actually only shut down a certain number of encampments per
month - by law. "So let me get this straight - you can only solve a certain
number of murders a month so anything beyond that just doesn't get addressed?"
"Uh, yeah there's only so many they're allowed to shut down each month."
So I started asking if was a state law or city law or what. He said he
didn't know. I asked "so if the quota for the month is already met and
there's an encampment in front of the mayor's house or the chief of police
then they...oh wait, we don't have a chief of police...but if there's an
encampment in front of the mayor's house then they can't shut that down
after they've met the monthly limit?" To which he replied in the affirmative.
I'm just living in a dystopic movie at this point. And it's not a very
good movie.
I had another conversation with another middle (wo)man who exists in the
useless crevices of bureaucracy about the issue. She was, of course, very
sad to hear about what we were dealing with and really wanted to help.
She said that abandoned vehicles are not as difficult to get rid of, but
when it becomes an encampment then it's a lot harder. I asked her if I
could just say I live in my car to avoid getting tickets throughout the
city from now on. She laughed and said unfortunately not. But why not?
The reason, of course, is that the law only applies to those who are law-abiding.
If you pay your taxes and try to do the right thing then you are subject
to its control. If you don't give a fuck and just take the license plates
off then you can park on the sidewalk. Maybe the law doesn't say that,
but the reality of things does.
So, if this continues, I'll get closer and closer to hitching these vehicles
up to my dump truck and dragging them somewhere else.
Other option is private security. Another example of G not doing its job
so private enterprise needs to step into the void. Pathetic.
Here's what I wrote to the city, designed to hit their talking points as
outlined in their own policy document (the things they supposedly want
to prioritize)...
"The encampment and abandoned vehicles:
Are within 50' of a retail business.
Within 150' of a childcare facility.
Impede ADA required access on the street.
Impede egress from my property
Are within 50' of a residence.
Are disproportionately affecting BIPOC communities who live in the
neighborhood.
There is an elderly lady who had to walk into the street with her walker
because the car pictured was blocking the sidewalk last week.
Today I hear about an aggressive dog at our entrance as well.
They store tires on site.
They are closer than within 6' of each other
They routinely start fires outside as reported by a nearby resident
and business owner
Sometimes they park over the PG&E gas valve access point on the
sidewalk which is a major hazard if there needed to be an emergency shut
off.
There is pervasive criminal activity in the area as previously reported
- several instances of graffiti and stolen property (at the very least).
I have heard from other neighbors who are afraid to say anything because
of immigration status or fear of retribution that they are increasingly
concerned about the growing encampment and dumping. What will it take to
get this situation remedied before things get worse for those in the neighborhood?"
Told the city that I'm moving my business to Alameda because Oakland sucks
(paraphrasing there). Need to jump through some hoops to close the business
account in Oakland, but I'll be doing that.
People say, especially when you have kids, to savor the moment because
you'll blink and they'll be all grown up and you'll wish you had enjoyed
it more. I remember trying very hard to do this when both the girls were
babies. I soaked up time with them as much as I could. I can't say that
it paid off at all. It doesn't pay dividends today. I just wish that I
could go back to those moments sometimes. But that same is true for good
times I had with them last week. I think the "savor the moment" advice
is just a way of acknowledging (and being sad about) the fact that time
marches on. I wish I could pause and rewind, but no one can. I can regret
not enjoying the time more, but what does that even mean? Certainly there
is something there - don't split your attention between your kids and work,
for example. But savoring the moment doesn't make the moment last any longer.
And, years later, it doesn't make you feel any better. Or maybe I'm missing
something.
Stand by Your Man is kind of a controversial song and Tammy Wynette got
a fair amount of shit about it over the years. I guess the idea is that
standing by your man is anti-feminist because a woman shouldn't put up
with men?
Here are the lyrics. I don't find any of this controversial. But maybe
that makes me a monster. You tell me.
Sometimes it's hard to be a woman (seems pro woman/feminist)
Giving all your love to just one man (maybe monogamy is problematic?)
You'll have bad times (life)
And he'll have good times (life)
Doin' things that you don't understand (real talk)
But if you love him you'll forgive him (maybe you shouldn't forgive
people you love? which part is problematic? loving a man or forgiving one?)
Even though he's hard to understand (other people are often hard to
understand. still not seeing a problem here)
And if you love him, oh be proud of him (this seems about as innocuous
as it gets)
'Cause after all he's just a man (this seems slightly anti-man, if
anything)
Stand by your man (problem?)
Give him two arms to cling to (maybe this is bad because it assumes
a woman is just a physical play thing for men? seems a stretch. maybe it's
ableist assuming people have two arms?)
And something warm to come to (see above)
When nights are cold and lonely (maybe it's problematic because it
reinforces gender roles of the woman as comforter?)
Stand by your man (see above)
And show the world you love him (problem?)
Keep giving all the love you can (this seems harmless)
Stand by your man
Stand by your man
And show the world you love him
Keep giving all the love you can
Stand by your man
Okay, I've gone over it one line at a time and I don't see much there.
There's one line that seems to indicate that men are less than women (After
all he's JUST a man). Other than that it seems like she loves a guy and
even though he does things she doesn't really understand, she wants to
be there to love and support him (and only him). I'm really having trouble
understanding the problem.
The state of the union speech was a good one. I guess we're just going
towards the Parliamentary style where there's a call and response that's
going to happen more. I actually didn't have much of a problem with it.
I like that Justin Trudeau has to answer to Pierre Poilievre. I like seeing
the back and forth. That said, maybe the SOTU address isn't the place for
that and I would lean towards respecting the tradition of silence. I've
been tough on Biden and his cognitive issues, but I felt like he mostly
did pretty well on the spot here. He botched Tyre Nichols' name and there
were other stumbles, but he wasn't in full drool cup Joe mode. He had one
line about transgender kids that I didn't agree with, but it mostly seemed
like some middle of the road stuff.
A pet peeve of mine is how liberals will call tax cuts spending. It's not
a pet peeve because I hate liberals or love tax cuts (neither is true),
but many of my pet peeves surround the rejection of reality. A tax cut
isn't spending. It's allowing a person or business to keep more of their
money. It may affect the bottom line like spending, but it is not spending.
The geniuses at the NYT and elsewhere are smart enough to figure out how
math works and they know the definition of words so I can only conclude
that they keep this up for political purposes.
I bring this up because the NYT Daily podcast on 1/23/23 had an episode
about the debt (because of the debt ceiling bullshit the Republicans are
putting us through again). They looked at how the debt grew under different
presidents, but they neglected to mention the role Congress plays. Congress
holds the purse strings so why shouldn't a Republican Congress get credit
for low deficits while Clinton was president? Probably because it's not
politically advantageous. I would have respected the reporting had they
broken it down both ways. They also had an entire episode on debt and never
did they put into context what spending looks like. So, they mention military
spending (12 times according to the transcript), but they don't mention
the level of spending that social security or medicare or medicaid is.
If you knew nothing about federal outlays (most Americans) then you would
come away thinking that military spending is the biggest part of our Federal
outlays. In reality it isn't. They didn't talk about how much it costs
to service the debt, either. So I'll do it here for you since you can't
rely on the NYT to educate you anymore apparently. This
is from Treasury.gov.
By agency:
$1.64 T Department of Health and Human Services
$1.28 T Social Security Administration
$1.16 T Department of the Treasury
$727 B Department of Defense--Military Programs
$639 B Department of Education
By category:
$1.22 T Social Security
$914 B Health
$865 B Income Security
$767 B National Defense
$755 B Medicare
Horrible podcast.
Home Depot does self checkout as many places do. What's always funny to
me is watching two employees as they look at two customers checking themselves
out to make sure the the customers aren't stealing or needing help. They
will often have a 1:1 ratio in the worst HD locations. So what's the point?
If you have one employee watching 3 customers I can see an argument for
it, but that's not the ratio at the two locations I go to most frequently.
Just so idiotic.
They're
rewriting Roald Dahl books now. Making them less mean. Seriously, you
can't make this shit up. Writing that someone is fat isn't acceptable apparently
(among other things). And yet the people who think this also self identify
as fat and call it a fat acceptance movement. To
wit. More.
NAAFA.
These people are more fucking nut jobs. When does this shit end? Put another
way...FUCK
YOU, YOU FAT-HEADED ROALD DAHL-CENSORING FUCKERS
The chief justice who wrote the decision on Plessy v. Ferguson went to
Harvard. The thief Sam Bankman-Fried went to Stanford. The architect of
the Vietnam war went to Harvard. The list is endless. How many nut jobs,
social engineers, warmongers, eugenicists, etc. do these places need to
churn out for us to take them off a pedestal?
Wonder
how many people know about the planned murder of justice Kavanaugh.
Seems like a story that went under the radar because the guy was caught/turned
himself in. Still odd that it didn't get much play. It wasn't just a spur
of the moment thing...he traveled 3,000 miles and brought weapons. If security
hadn't been there what would have happened? We're a couple nut jobs getting
lucky away from seeing how deep this hole gets.
How's that short war in Ukraine going? Media was sure it was going to be
a few weeks or months. How often do the experts need to be wrong before
they're strung up and fucking killed? I'm tired of this shit. Let's cut
to the chase and just kill everyone who's wrong more than twice. Maybe
that'll teach people to hedge their bets and be careful with what they
say.
It's actually funny how this cycle repeats itself. During WWI everyone
said the troops would be home by Christmas. A few years later millions
dead and a few hundred yards gained/lost in the battle lines. Real great
decision making. Fuck all those morons.
Do people who think in pictures remember their early life farther back?
Kimberle Crenshaw is the super genius who came up with the idea of intersectionality.
Basically that you have to consider more than just gender or race (or ability
status or whatever else is en vogue these days) in isolation when examining
the disadvantage of a person. Eventually an even bigger super genius will
figure out that there are so many ways a person can be identified (autism
status, gender, race, age, relative fatness, bad daddy issues, etc.) that
all intersect to create an "individual" and that you actually have to examine
each "individual" on their own. Basically it's intersectionality all the
way down until you finally realize that people just need to be judged on
their own, rather than as each separate identity they happen to inhabit,
which may or may not even be recognized depending upon the wokeness of
society at the time. Eventually we'll recognize not only neuro-divergent
and gender-fluid identities, but also hair color status, freckle density
identity, etc. One can only hope.
Cancer survivor cuts off her breasts and everyone says she's a hero and
no less of a woman even though she doesn't have boobs.
Trans man can't live with breasts because they make him feel like a woman.
Hm.
According to NYT podcast the abortion rate has gone up from 17% to 20%,
meaning 20% of pregnancies now end in an abortion. This is much higher
than I would have thought. But the interesting note is that it's gone up
since the "abortion ban decision."
Black patients get less opiods and antibiotics. The only theory I've heard
from the NPR crowd on this is that it's because of anti-black racism. Blacks
are seen as less deserving of care. Less trusted in their experience of
pain. Another interpretation without actual data, could be that white people
complain more or are more likely to sue so there's more defensive medicine
or are seen as physically weaker and thus needing more medicine. Unless
they report this shit with some data from doctors who are justifying their
decisions, it's just random speculation and I think my nonsense speculation
is as good as theirs. Further, what does it say about your shitty profession
that there would be an appreciable difference in treatments to similar
symptoms? Clean that shit up.
Earlier this year there was a heat wave and the county decided to shut
down the parks. They don't trust people to use their own judgment about
how hot it is. How is it possible to have such a nanny state? If I were
trying to take the best possible care of every person in a given place,
it wouldn't ever occur to me to shut down parks because it's too hot. I'd
think of other things that I (in reality) don't believe should happen like:
free fans for everyone, free visits to the movie theater or mall or other
air conditioned spaces for all, free ice, advise people to stay inside,
advise people to check on fragile loved ones and neighbors, information
on how to make a homemade swamp cooler, tell the fire department to open
fire hydrants in strategic locations. That's 30 seconds of brain storming.
I'm just an idiot contractor trying to prove a point and I came up with
half a dozen better ideas than chaining parks closed like some idiot fascists.
They closed the parks in the entire state during COVID. The thinking was
that they wanted to encourage everyone to stay home and that being out
in parks hiking or playing was going to lead to spreading.
How many times have I seen people wearing things they don't actually believe.
Shirts like "mindset over everything" or "the future is female." But these
are (likely) the same people who complain about the patriarchy or systemic
oppression. If we live in a patriarchy in the present how is the future
ever going to be female? If mindset over everything is what you believe
then why would systemic oppression be a thing? Just change your mindset
to get over it. You can only believe one of the things, so choose one.
I
love Chloe Valdary.
I was at the bank the other day waiting in line and I watched an employee
wander around changing out signs. They had a sign up that said you should
apply for their cash back credit card. "Earn 3% cash back on every coffee"
She spent like 3 minutes changing out that sign to one that read "Earn
3% cash back on every Poke bowl." I mean we really have to be at peak stupidity
here. This lady probably has a college degree and she's getting paid to
change out this dumb fucking signs with no meaningful difference. I swear
to god I wouldn't mind a nuke just dropping on this fucking place. What
the fuck are we doing here?
Does anyone understand what we're given? Our species has defied all laws
of entropy. We're here standing up against the winds of chaos and time,
floating on a blue ball in the middle of a fucking infinite nothingness
and we're spending our time changing out this sign, scratching our collective
head thinking about how the sign looks while our fellow humans have pieces
of their bodies rotting while asking for money on the corner? This is how
we're going to treat this fucking blessing of life? What a fucking tragedy.
Yeah, I saw a guy the other day with an open sore (not the first, second
or third time I've seen such a thing) on his leg about the size of a fist.
Probably infected as fuck. Probably will end up losing his leg in the future.
I called it in and the supposedly sent the fire department. Total waste
of human potential. 50 years ago that guy's mom gave birth to him and (probably)
loved him more than anything in that moment. Today he's begging for money
on the side of the road probably looking for his next fix.
And there are people who wear D.A.R.E. t-shirts ironically because it's
funny how much the man doesn't want us to drugs. Maybe we should take drugs
as seriously as we take racism.
I have zero faith that we can keep a hold of any technology we create.
We've got a tiger by the tail, best case scenario. Actually, the Church,
was probably once a good check on this phenomenon. The Church was once
as powerful as G and was probably threatened by "black magic" and science
and told all sorts of stories to try to slow technological progress down.
Maybe not because the Church saw around the curve and thought this was
the best thing for society...probably more likely because those things
were a threat to its own power. Nevertheless it seems like that was one
of the few checks we've had on technological progress getting out of control.
You'll have a Unabomber type every once in a while who has zero effect.
You'll have some conservatives telling stories about Pandora's Box and
no one really cares much. But it's really just a steady march towards more
technology and all that that brings. Nukes. Social Media. AI. To what extent
are we better off?
There's an idea espoused by lots of philosophers and religions and cultural
texts about time as a flat circle. Reincarnation. Reliving the same life
over and over. Different variations on the theme that we redo the same
thing over and over and repeat the cycle. Graham
Hancock proffers a version of this in a way as well. An ancient buried
society and we're redoing what's already been done. I have definitely had
the feeling that society has a cycle from 1. nothing to 2. something to
3. something great to 4. too much of a good thing to 5. things fall apart.
I haven't thought at all about the stages or anything, but it's basically
like the quote "Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times.
Good times create weak men. And, weak men create hard times." Ray Dalio
has his own civilization cycle mapped out and it's essentially the same
story of starting off small, doing well and prospering, taking things for
granted, going into debt and losing your edge, collapse.
We have the opportunity to learn from the past and live the next civilizational
life better than the last and I don't see the progress I'd like to see.
Maybe it's all been done before and god hit the reset because the whole
thing fell apart. The Matrix touches on this as well. If time is a flat
circle then it means we're just repeating the same shit over and over.
I'd like to think that we get to roll the dice anew each time and maybe
some day we'll make the right moves.
Listened to "I Am A Rock" with Zoe the other day while driving home alone
with her. She didn't think all that much about the song at first. Then
I told her to listen to the lyrics a bit and think about it. and we talked
about its meaning. She cried and I cried with her. Great song. Hopefully
this shit world doesn't ruin her.
How do you make home both a respite from the cruelty and stupidity of the
world, but also a training ground for it? They seem to be in opposition.
I want my kids to be able to laugh off someone who calls them shitty things.
I want them to be able to stand up for themselves when cornered. I want
them to not be shocked by things that happen in the world. I want them
to be able to fend for themselves. But I can't be the one to directly put
them through these trials. The school of hard knocks teaches all these
lessons most quickly, but it sucks. There doesn't seem to be any way around
it - experience teaches better than anything, but you don't want them to
have to experience every shitty thing in order to learn every lesson. Some
people learn their lessons by watching others. I learned from my parents
that getting into drugs wasn't going to be a good life. My sister (who
didn't witness as much as I did [fortunately/unfortunately]) didn't learn
the same lesson and she went down that path and has experienced its pain.
The other day we were trying to decide what activity to do (I forget the
specifics) and it was clear that Zoe was going along to get along, and
wasn't really telling us what she thought. She sorta grunted her approval
with the plan even though she didn't mean it. I told her that she needed
to communicate her actual feelings more clearly than with grunts. I roughly
said: "There will come a time when you'll need to be very clear about what
you do or don't want and you'll need to have the ability to stand up for
yourself in that moment so now's the time to practice." You just hope they
remember these lessons with your words instead of some other way.
NYT podcast on conservatives who are trying to ban books on race and gender
identity a while back. Thing that was funny is that they never really got
into what the issue was with any of the books. They didn't read any of
the supposedly bad passages from the books that the conservative parents
were up in arms about. They talk about the existence of controversial passages,
but they never quoted any of them. So, does that mean that they didn't
have enough time? Or maybe they weren't acceptable for the podcast? I guess
we'll never know. Stellar reporting.
"You can't have it all" says someone with exasperation. Yeah, who the hell
ever thought you could? Was there a promise I missed somewhere where someone
said you can have it all if you follow the rules or if you try hard or
act nice or whatever? I didn't get that memo. Don't be surprised or upset
when you can't have it all because no one can. It's called life. Sack up.
Is it wrong to assume people are straight? Is that a microaggresion? I
mean that's literally the one way human life continues so I don't think
it's much of a stretch to assume such a thing. Would it be wrong to assume
that my kids are going to have boyfriends? Or do I have to say "someday
when you have a boyfriend I'm going to tell him about such and such embarrassing
story. Or girlfriend or non-binary friend. Whatever you choose because
it's totally up to you and I wouldn't want to assume and of course there's
no judgment and you can do whatever you want." Not sure anymore.
"Demisexuality is a sexual orientation. People who identify as demisexual
only feel sexual attraction to someone after they've formed a strong emotional
bond with them." Hmm.
12:42a.
2/28/23 (12:51)
Working at home today. Lots to catch up on.
Non-college educated men in their 20s who had not worked at all in the
last year - 25% (from 2016 according to book iGen). This is what I'm talking
about when I keep hammering on and on about 1) the crisis of boys and 2)
the dwindling workforce participation rate. People can point to unemployment
rate under 4% and pretend it's meaningful, but it just means there are
a lot of people not looking for work. There's a failure to launch with
a lot of young men and this stat backs that up. Way too many men who just
aren't doing what they're supposed to do. If we have the most potentially
problematic segment of our society doing absolutely nothing then what are
we going to get? Idle hands are the devil's workshop. I'm no bible thumper,
but this is a true statement.
2/27/23 (16:59)
This is going to be a slow year. Last year at this time I was worried about
the economy and it proved to be the best year to date, so maybe it's just
a matter of economists correctly predicting 8 out of the last 5 recessions
(not a typo). That said, I think this slow down is for real for a couple
reasons...
Housing is already showing slowing in volume and price usually lags behind
that. Interest rate are high and that brings prices and velocity (churn
rate)/volume down. Something like 70% of single family homes have an interest
rate locked in at 4% or less (can't remember exact number). I did find
that 85%
of households are at the current rate or lower. I also remember that
25% of mortgages are at 3% or less. All this is to say that people are
going to be reluctant to leave their cushy rate unless they have to...especially
if prices are flat or declining.
We also have an inverted yield curve which is very highly correlated with
recession. Permits issued are down. Construction jobs will follow. In the
Bay Area, in particular, I think the tech layoffs are going to hurt housing/construction.
All this is to say that we may or may not have a recession, but my business
will likely be slow this year. We employ 5 guys now and 1 office assistant.
I'd rather not lay anyone off so hopefully we can scrape together enough
work to ride this year out.
Google has jumped the shark and Chat GPT (or similar) is going to take
market share starting yesterday. I've noticed the last few months that
Google is decreasingly effective at finding the things I want. I've also
had decreasing confidence and user experience with Maps. Not sure what's
going on with them. I'm not saying they won't continue to print money like
they have been, but they should feel a fire under their ass soon or they
will have their search traffic go from 90%+ to 50%.
Maps, in particular, is an annoying experience and I think very easily
solvable. There are thousands of super geniuses working at Google and yet
Maps has gotten worse so I have to have some humility and assume that it's
a problem that is beyond my understanding...that said, it doesn't seem
that difficult to configure maps to figure out things that Google already
knows. So, I choose to drive from Richmond to Cupertino (an area that is
probably as well mapped as any in the world seeing as it is in the tech
hub of the world). Google suggest I go through SF and down to Cupertino.
It estimates that it will take 1hr 40m. But it also shows another way of
going that is $1 more and 22 minutes faster. Why didn't it default to that
route? There could be an option to take the cheapest route, but I haven't
found that in any of the settings anywhere. In what world is $1 worth 22
minutes with very similar mileage? They now have a fuel efficient option
that is supposed to default to more efficient routes "when arrival
times are similar." But I don't consider 22 minutes similar. Further, I
could have taken another route that is 20 minutes faster than the default
route, but with $0 in tolls. My preference would be for that considering
mileage was similar and I'd save $6-7 in tolls. There are many times when
I'll ignore a route and the new route that I choose ends up (by Google's
own recalculation) save time. If you knew that was a faster route once
I chose it, why didn't you select that in the first place? In sum, the
routes they select are questionable at best and have tended towards being
very unreliable.
The
big news of the day was that the Energy Department, according to WSJ, has
concluded that COVID most likely leaked from a lab. Headline: "Lab
Leak Most Likely Origin of Covid-19 Pandemic, Energy Department Now Says"
I reached this conclusion about two years ago and wrote about it here in
2021, but I guess better late than never.
The fact that it probably leaked from a lab is scandalous and should be
a wakeup call for how society conducts research - at the very least. If
there was ever a time for G to intervene maybe not starting global pandemics
would be a good place to start. But instead G rather require hairdressers
to be licensed. Whatever.
But the lab leak may not be the biggest scandal of all because, hey it
was good intentions and mistakes happen...we're all human. The bigger scandal
may be the fact that the so called purveyors of truth - the NYT and NPRs
of the world went so far out of their way to call the idea of a lab leak
a hoax and a conspiracy. I don't think I ever heard the mainstream legacy
media give the idea of a lab leak an honest look. Instead Twitter and FB
and others banned people who talked about the possibility. They shut down
or throttled the conversation.
What are the big stories on the front page of NPR.org? I don't see a single
mention of the story (though they did have about 20 seconds of it on All
Things Considered). Instead it's the usual NPR stuff these days:
2/25/23 (08:41)
Spent the last two days taking apart the dump truck bed and rebuilding
it with 2" square tubing that we welded together. Unfortunately, after
weeks of no rain, it decided to rain and get real cold (even snowed on
the way to school the other day). So the paint I put on yesterday afternoon
didn't fully dry and then it rained. So there will be some rework. Won't
get decent weather until Wednesday. I could drive it to the new house and
park it in there and paint it inside, but the temperature isn't going to
be that great either so I'm not sure it's worth the trouble. Pretty annoying.
Need to use the truck on Monday as well so there's a bit of a time crunch
as well. Had I done the work a day earlier everything would have been a
lot better.
We've started getting some real bids in on the new house work...Basically
we're going to be redoing everything and it would be simpler to tear it
down and rebuild, but that comes with all sorts of complications so it's
almost less headache to do things the annoying way. That sounds paradoxical,
but it's true. If you are renovating an existing structure then usually
you don't have to worry about as much planning and feedback and limitations
from the government. When you go with all new then it triggers all sorts
of other shit (setbacks, further design review, triggers more stringent
code requirements, etc.), not to mention probably additional fees as well.
So, the end result is that you spend more money for a compromised end product
in order to avoid all the headaches. In a perfect world, you could tear
down and replace similar to the existing for the same fees and headaches
as a renovation would be. But we don't live in that world.
At any rate, bids have started to come in and we're definitely going to
need to revise some plans. The existing structure is just a warehouse with
metal siding and roofing (the crappy corrugated kind) and we wanted to
match that with a nicer looking painted metal roofing/siding. Looks like
that will be out of our budget, though, so we'll have to adjust. The front
gate is going to be a lot more than we thought also. We're also likely
going to have to get sprinklers in the building so that is going to be
a major cost. Then there's the limitation of the live/work zoning that
we have. For some reason they only allow 400 s.f. of living space in a
live/work building so we have to build the interior to present as 400 s.f.
of living area...pass inspections and then redo the inside the way we really
want it. This is probably the biggest annoyance for me of the entire project.
It's incredibly wasteful and obnoxious...particularly the under slab plumbing
portion that we'll have to plan very carefully.
At this point I'm just really annoyed with the realities of the work I
do. Local government and building codes started off with good intentions,
but they've just gone so far beyond their original purview. Things are
so bloated and unncessary. It's one thing to make sure a structure is safe
and it's another to get to this point where every building needs fire sprinklers
and live/work can't be more than a small apartment and all the rest that
I don't have time to go into.
2/15/23 (18:18)
Finally got around to finishing the NYC
trip page. We went there for Thanksgiving in 2021 and I started the
page shortly thereafter, but didn't finish until today. Yikes.
2/4/23 (09:39)
City of Oakland sent me a business renewal via email the other day. As
always, I have to submit my gross receipts and they take a certain percentage
of that. Not of your net profit, but of your gross receipts. I think this
is a bad way of doing it, but whatever. Regardless, I sent them an email
telling them that due to their inability to respond to my many requests
that they remove the homeless people from blocking my driveway and sidewalk
at the warehouse, I've decided to move my business to Alameda so please
tell me what the process is for non-renewal.
Meryl and I have called/emailed/submitted requests via the app to: city
council members, homeless intervention team, police, parking enforcement,
general city help line, etc. a few dozen times over the last few weeks
and everyone says they care and refers to work to someone else. That someone
else never does the job. This is typical of bureaucracies and it's why
large governments and corporations and bureaucracies are evil. They necessarily
deflect blame and accountability. They, by their nature, deflect responsibility
and reduce the likelihood of things actually being accomplished. They are
antithetical to a society that accomplishes things. And yet they are necessary
in some ways because of human nature. Everyone in the chain feels like
they are doing their job by referring the work to someone else. They feel
accomplished when they mark our issue a high priority. In reality, they've
done little to nothing unless there is someone somewhere holding people
accountable. Without someone looking at clearance rates, the whole thing
is just about making lists. Cops become report takers in a system like
this. They are supposed to be detectives and problem solvers and interventionists
and agents for prevention. But when the system is clogged and no one is
holding people accountable, then it's just an exercise in paper pushing.
I called 311 the other day to report that a car was parked on the sidewalk
in front of the front entrance to our warehouse. She said she'd report
it to parking enforcement. I asked if something would actually get done
because I already called them. They had a recording that my call was very
important to them, but they didn't answer the phone or return my call.
She chuckled.
"So, what are the chances this actually gets take care of?"
"I'm not sure, I can just put it into the system and make it a high priority."
"Okay, how long does it usually take for these issues to get resolved?"
"I'm not sure. There are hundreds of homeless encampments in the city so
they have a lot to respond to."
"Okay, so if they don't do anything what's my next option? I've already
talked with my city councilmember and the police and you guys"
"I would continue to talk with them about it."
"And if they don't do anything what's next? Do I go there with some friends
with baseball bats or what?"
"I can't advise you on that sir. I would continue with what you were doing."
So, this is where the city is and it's no surprise. In SF there was
a little
hubbub recently about
a man spraying down a homeless woman. Lots of people were aghast by it.
It's pretty much what you'd expect, however, when the authorities don't
do their job. I don't know what you're supposed to do when homeless people
are lighting fires outside your property and bringing stolen goods there
and blocking the sidewalk and doing drugs. I know that society says you're
not supposed to spray them with water because this guy got a backlash for
it.
1/25/23 (15:13)
I get a lot of requests for information from the government (and other
entities) these days. The County Assessor called me today to ask about
the new property we bought. "What are your plans?" "I went by today, but
the gate was closed so I couldn't get a good look inside." "Did you buy
it off market?" "Are you going to demolish part of the building?" I also
get myriad forms from various government agencies asking me for information
about how much money I make or recent projects I've worked on and what
the estimated time for completion is, etc. With all of these I pretty much
assume they are asking questions in order to find a way to take more of
my money or screw me over somehow. This is maybe not entirely fair, but
I don't think it's a paranoid assumption either. I try to be as vague as
possible. I get different economic surveys and economic census questionnaires.
I generally ignore these because the upside of my answering the questions
is zero and the downside is that they decide that the business isn't classified
correctly or something and then I owe back taxes or my property tax assessment
increases or the warehouse isn't zoned properly for the way we're using
it or whatever. Better to just fly under the radar than be the subject
of some government official's investigation.
I get the same audits from my insurance companies and with them it's definitely
them trying to see if I owe more money. Workers' comp audits are great
fun and they find new ways of screwing me every year. They redefine who
needs to be covered by workers' comp so that it's as broad as possible.
California is not a great place to do business.
Of course it's possible that the government just wants better data so they
can help businesses thrive and grow the economy or share the (anonymized)
data with academics so they can study economic trends, etc. This would
be a great world to live in, but I don't think it's reality so I ignore
and deflect as much as possible.
Not sure if I mentioned this one, but our Oakland warehouse, where all
the staging stuff is located, is in a pretty ghetto area. There's always
dumping on the corner and the garbage guys pick up the trash regularly....which
is nice, but it just feeds the perception that it's a legal dumping ground.
I've stopped people from dumping and they literally think that the city
condones dumping on this corner. We've talked with the city and gotten
a sign to put up. We gave them permission to put up a camera, but didn't
get any follow-up on that one.
At any rate, the newest development is that there's a guy camping right
in front of the warehouse. He has a tow trailer camper and he's set up
shop with traffic cones and everything. Now he has taken over about 75%
of the sidewalk with an awning and his belongings. He tied the awning to
our building as well. The whole thing is just hilarious. It's funny to
see a society where there are fewer and fewer rules that are enforced in
any meaningful way. We're either regressing to the wild west or progressing
to Road Warrior. I asked him and the other camper around the corner to
not tie their shit to our building and both of them complied with that,
so that's good. Lately, though, the guy is acting more wacky and starting
fires at night (a neighbor keeps us abreast of the happenings) so it's
not a very safe situation. I've put in several requests with the city app
designed for reporting this. Yesterday we spoke with a police officer about
it and he said he'd have a chat with the guy. Today was street cleaning
and the guy was still there (I've been ticketed there before, but I'm guessing
he won't suffer the same fate).
All this stuff is the natural result of this cock-eyed "thinking" that
we have in this city. It's not just wokeness, though that's part of it
- it's also the near disregard for authority and common sense. There's
an elevation of ideas like equity and other woke buzz words over the basic
needs of a society like rule of law and fiscal responsibility. In the fitness
community there is a saying that you don't want to "major in the minors."
In that context it means the guy who is all about getting the right amino
acid supplements and buying the perfect kettle bell and wearing the best
gear. Meanwhile he only works out once a week and eats too much dessert.
Our city has done the same thing. They have a lot of extracurricular activities
that sound great to them because they check the DEI (diversity, equity,
inclusion)/woke buzz word checklists, but they don't know how to keep costs
under control, pave the roads, and keep their citizens (and their property)
safe. You gotta do the first thing before you can do the other stuff.
At this point I have zero hope that Oakland will do any of the basic stuff
well any time soon. There seem to be too many systemic issues. Too many
entrenched interests. Too much overspending and debt for too long. And
the worst part is that so few of the people in power (or even candidates
to be in power) are even aware of the ball that they should be keeping
their eye on. They're totally oblivious.
Definitely been seeing an exodus taking place. The data supposedly doesn't
support the CA exodus, but there's a lot of "anecdata" to the point where
I have to invoke the Grouch Marx line: "Who are you going to believe -
me or your own eyes?" It's clear that this is a shitty place to be in a
lot of ways and a lot of people who can choose to leave are doing so. The
people who are choosing to stay are generally in very nice areas and have
good security systems. That's basically where we are. 20 years ago I'd
watch videos from Russia and South Africa and Brazil on liveleak.com and
so often they were of crazy road rage incidents or people attempting to
defraud an insurance company by getting themselves purposely hit by a car
or you'd see ambushes at people's homes and they'd pull into their gated
driveway only to have two guys with guns on a motorcycle follow them into
their property and there would be a shoot out or whatever. The ubiquity
of dash cams and security cameras (because of a lack of social trust).
The ubiquity of fraud and robbery...The extent to which people had to secure
themselves and their property...Those were things that I was thankful we
didn't have to deal with here. At least I didn't take it for granted, I
guess. Unfortunately, here in Oakland, I think we're now closer to that
than we are closer to how things were when I was growing up. Sad to have
regressed as a society.
The steel man argument against this is that I'm just seeing this stuff
more and it's gotten a bit worse, but not much. I see it more because I'm
older and out and about more. NextDoor and the media play it up more. Seeing
notifications from the Citizen app or NextDoor just amplify the perception
that things are bad, but if I had the police scanner on when I was 10,
then I would have had the same feeling back then. The FBI crime numbers
are actually better now than they were in the 90s. I only care more now
because I have multiple properties and I'm paying taxes, so it stings more,
but quality of life issues are basically the same as before. And if I were
a black man then I'd realize that things are a lot better now than they
were before because the BLM movement has shifted awareness for the better
in so many ways. It's only because I'm a white property owner that I think
things are worse. And even if things are a little worse for white property
owners, isn't that worth a bit more dignity for the unhoused? Property
crimes against the rich are a sort of progressive taxation that occurs
when society fails to do right by its poorest (actual argument I've heard).
Some truth in those arguments, but overall, I think things are getting
worse.
1/12/23 (15:46)
At this point I've spent more time responding to the allegations and emails
and complaints from the guy who won't pay us, than I would have spent fixing
any of the problems he brought up and won't allow us to fix. As long as
the problems aren't addressed, he can claim (in his head) that we don't
need to be paid. Awesome.
1/10/23 (20:35)
I'm not a climate change denier. I think that it's real and it's caused
mostly by humans. That said, it's not near the top of my list when it comes
to problems I'm worried about society dealing with. I think we need to
consider it and take some actions towards ameliorating the problem, but
I don't think it will cause half the world's population to die in the next
100 years (a prediction I've heard from smart people). I don't think it's
as important an environmental issue as clean water. I don't think it's
as important an issue as the threats to democracy we're seeing around the
world.
There are a few reasons I'm not an alarmist about global warming, while
being an alarmist about other issues. Firstly, the models all assume that
nothing changes (and things always do) and I'm always pretty skeptical
of long-term models anyway. That's pretty straightforward. Long-term predictions
tend to be quite wrong and I don't think this will be an exception, especially
since so many people are aware of the issue.
The second reason is that I think we're relatively incapable of fixing
issues of a political or social nature, but we're fairly capable of fixing
engineering problems. So, if a problem can be solved by technological progress,
then I'm much more optimistic about the problem being solved. But, if a
problem is political (not technological) in nature, then I'm more worried
about it being solved. So, our ability to discern between real and fake
news? Worried. Our ability to engineer a fusion power future that dramatically
decreases the impact of global warming? Less worried. There's a profit
motive to fix this issue so I'm even further optimistic that it will be
solved. There's a profit motive to continue with the status quo also, but
I think that will decrease relative to the motive for new solutions as
time goes on. Either because of people worrying so much, or because of
the impact of global warming increasing the cost of the old way.
I haven't created a list of greatest problems facing humanity, but my impression
is that many in the intelligentsia would place global warming in the top
3. I'm not sure it would crack my top 10.
Our new house/warehouse property is still waiting for people to do their
job. We were waiting on the architect, then the city, and now the engineer.
After that it will be the architect again and then the city and probably
the architect and then the city and back and forth a while until we get
an approval. In the meantime we've done some demo to gut the main building
and I plan on getting some trash out of there this week. I sent a few of
the guys there this afternoon to continue with demo and they told me the
locks were broken. Apparently someone broke in and stole whatever they
could. Luckily I didn't leave anything of great value behind so they only
got away with a few hundred bucks worth of extension cords and some hand
tools. I fucking hate this place. Meryl thought it would be good to give
the Alameda cops a chance so we called them and they were very responsive.
That's good news. Hopefully the cops doing their job in Alameda means we're
less likely to have this stuff happen at the new place, but it's still
the bay area and it's just a part of living here.
Can't recall if I told the story of my neighbor who was a high school student
and had his prized Ford Mustang stolen from outside his house a few months
back. Reported it to the cops and they didn't do anything. Someone on tik-tok
said they found it a couple miles away so he went there and, sure enough,
there it was just sitting parked on the street. He called the cops and
they said they would send a cop over. 6 hours later he called them again
and said they still had 160+ calls ahead of him so he should probably just
go ahead and take the car back himself. So he did that and drove it home.
At 3am the next morning, the cops knocked on his door to clear the case
for him. Hilarious.
This isn't a one of a kind incident, either. Carlos, who works for
me, said the same thing happened to his brother in law. He found his truck
on the street after it had been stolen - and he just stole it back himself.
My electrician had two vans stolen in the same week just a few months ago.
A guy I used to have install flooring for us had his truck stolen a few
weeks ago. There are countless local news stories about thefts from contractors.
The new wrinkle is that the thieves are doing it in broad daylight and
sometimes doing it with a gun.